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Commercial Crashes in Blue Cities

Terrel L. Shields

Elite Member
Gold Supporting Member
Joined
May 2, 2002
Professional Status
Certified General Appraiser
State
Arkansas

Sean Reynoldsd - broker and appraiser "Portland's "woke" leadership created a downtown wasteland where businesses board up windows faster than they can say "defund the police," and how one fire sale just triggered a tax revenue avalanche that's about to crush their bloated city budget."
 
Gee, whoda thunk?
 
Before 2020, going to Portland City Grill on the 30th Floor of Big Pink, with great views, was part of a fun night out and you could walk back to your hotel. Sad, that's something I'd avoid doing now. Same with San Francisco and Seattle.

AI: "Here are the current Class A office space vacancy rates in the ten largest U.S. cities as of 2025:
• San Francisco: Around 28.6% to 29.3%, with some submarkets exceeding 30% vacancy. It remains the city with the highest vacancy rate nationally, especially in prime Class A spaces .
• Austin: Approximately 27.2% to 28.5%, driven by supply exceeding demand as the tech hub experiences an office glut .
• Seattle: Vacancy just above 27.5%, reflecting one of the steepest increases among major markets .
• Denver: Around 25.2%, consistently showing oversupply compared to absorption .
• Bay Area (excluding San Francisco): Between 25.5% and 26.4% .
• Portland: Between 21.2% and 21.8% vacancy .
• Downtown Los Angeles: Exceeding 30% vacancy, one of the most distressed submarkets .
• New York City (Manhattan and Midtown areas): Class A vacancy roughly around 16% to 23% depending on submarket, with Midtown Manhattan showing positive absorption in Class A space .
• Chicago: Vacancy rates above the national average of about 18.6%, though specific Class A rates range likely in the low to mid-20% .
• Dallas/Fort Worth: Also with vacancy rates high but less than San Francisco or Austin, likely in the 20+% range ."
 
Not just office space with high vacancies. Many jobs can be worked remote than preCovid.
Retail stores also high vacancies since less need for Brick & Mortar stores.
 
In SF, I'm seeing professionals like accountants taking over ground floor retail and restaurant space.
SF doesn't like that because it doesn't bring foot traffic but that's the reality with the dying retail/brick & mortar market.
 

Chicago’s Progressive Tax Push BACKFIRES: Downtown Office Vacancies Hit RECORD HIGHS!​

 
And what's worse, is the loss in MV for commercial properties and decrease in taxes is put on the adjacent HOs who are forced to absorb the loss in property tax revenue.
 

San Francisco mall with nearly all its storefronts empty goes at auction for $133M​

The former Westfield Emporium in San Francisco, once a premier luxury shopping destination, has been sold at auction for pennies on the dollar.

The Westfield Mall on Market Street is now known as "San Francisco Centre." The cavernous building is nearly deserted, most of the storefronts covered in a blank facade.

A ONCE PRIME PROPERTY ATTRACTING CUSTOMERS THROUGHOUT BAY AREA AND TOURISTS, NOW AN EMPTY 95% VACANT MALL.
SHAMEFUL TO THE PROGRESSIVE POLITICIANS WHO HAVE DESTROYED COMMERCIAL PROPERTIES IN SF!
 
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