- Joined
- Jan 15, 2002
- Professional Status
- Certified General Appraiser
- State
- California
Those MBs will not send all their loans through the GSEs.
I think that if/when the AMC model becomes dominant appraisers will retain the freedom of association to work for the co-op AMC that some of our forumites are putting together. The key to that model is appraisers contributing time rather than cash to operate certain critical functions like QC.
This supertanker we refer to as the residential mortgage business is not even halfway finished in reversing it's course. I wouldn't be making assumptions about the environment staying the way it is right now. All of these AMCs are already facing some pressure from some of the lenders about their quality.
The biggest pressure an AMC faces is its overhead vs. its volume. Much of their overhead is fixed, meaning they still have to pay it even when the volumes are down. That's why they have to take an increasingly larger portion of the fee even while that fee is under pressure due to competition.
The co-op AMC can work and it can put most of it's competition out of business, but in order for that to happen appraisers have to come to the conclusion that basing their business model on working directly for the lenders or the MBs is no longer an option. If indeed that's what ends up happening.
It doesn't make any difference whether the AMC model thrives because of GSE demands on the loan originators or because of lender preference. The result is the same - larger and larger percentages of assignments being funneled through those parasites.
At whatever point the appraisers come to the conclusion that it has become an AMC world, they'll decide that the better option is to sacrifice a little of their autonomy on the fees and do the unpaid work it will take to run a co-op AMC on an extremely lean basis. That point is obviously yet a ways off. Most appraisers still believe they have options and they won't give up on the dream until the futility is branded into their brain.
The one thing I really like about the HVCC was the requirement for outside review, completely independent of either the lenders or the GSEs. Depending on how well that was run it could really deny the slop artists the ability to pump out a dozen $175 URARs a week. That will return the "excess" assignments back into the pool for other appraisers to perform and would also force an increase on fees in order for the appraiser to get by. Even skippy will like that outcome - the same amount of money for fewer assignments.
I think that if/when the AMC model becomes dominant appraisers will retain the freedom of association to work for the co-op AMC that some of our forumites are putting together. The key to that model is appraisers contributing time rather than cash to operate certain critical functions like QC.
This supertanker we refer to as the residential mortgage business is not even halfway finished in reversing it's course. I wouldn't be making assumptions about the environment staying the way it is right now. All of these AMCs are already facing some pressure from some of the lenders about their quality.
The biggest pressure an AMC faces is its overhead vs. its volume. Much of their overhead is fixed, meaning they still have to pay it even when the volumes are down. That's why they have to take an increasingly larger portion of the fee even while that fee is under pressure due to competition.
The co-op AMC can work and it can put most of it's competition out of business, but in order for that to happen appraisers have to come to the conclusion that basing their business model on working directly for the lenders or the MBs is no longer an option. If indeed that's what ends up happening.
It doesn't make any difference whether the AMC model thrives because of GSE demands on the loan originators or because of lender preference. The result is the same - larger and larger percentages of assignments being funneled through those parasites.
At whatever point the appraisers come to the conclusion that it has become an AMC world, they'll decide that the better option is to sacrifice a little of their autonomy on the fees and do the unpaid work it will take to run a co-op AMC on an extremely lean basis. That point is obviously yet a ways off. Most appraisers still believe they have options and they won't give up on the dream until the futility is branded into their brain.
The one thing I really like about the HVCC was the requirement for outside review, completely independent of either the lenders or the GSEs. Depending on how well that was run it could really deny the slop artists the ability to pump out a dozen $175 URARs a week. That will return the "excess" assignments back into the pool for other appraisers to perform and would also force an increase on fees in order for the appraiser to get by. Even skippy will like that outcome - the same amount of money for fewer assignments.