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U.S. labor market is losing steam

Fewer government jobs. AI will replace even more. All those DEI jobs the tik-tok "diversity hires" at Google et al are being laid off. But AI ultimately is deflationary. Tariffs are a nothingburger if done right.
 

Paul Krugman Warns Trump’s Economy Is ‘In Worse Shape Than It Looks’​

Renowned economist Paul Krugman on Wednesday issued a dire analysis of the current state of the U.S. economy under President Donald Trump.

And he warned that it’s actually “in worse shape than it looks.”

The economy may appear to be “OK by the most commonly used measures,” such as unemployment levels, the 2008 winner of the Nobel Memorial Prize in Economic Sciences wrote in his email newsletter.

But it’s “definitely not OK once you look under the hood,” he warned.

It’s “strongly bifurcated” with investment in artificial intelligence “booming” in stark contrast to the rest of the economy, he said, noting the economy feels “frozen” with the job market almost stalled.

Trump’s “wildly erratic policies are creating huge uncertainty which is deterring many companies – essentially those that are not in the AI sector or a sector catering to the affluent – from making investments,” said Krugman.

“The result is that much of the economy is frozen — companies aren’t hiring or investing,” he noted. And “ithout the AI boom/bubble spending, we might very well have fallen into a recession,” he suggested, noting the consensus among fellow economists.
 
President Trump said late Thursday that he was terminating negotiations with Canada over the high tariffs that he imposed on its steel, auto parts and other major exports, adding new uncertainty to the relationship with America’s second-biggest trading partner.

On Truth Social, the president said he was ending all trade negotiations with Canada because of a video ad, paid for by the province of Ontario, that featured former President Ronald Reagan speaking negatively about tariffs.

“TARIFFS ARE VERY IMPORTANT TO THE NATIONAL SECURITY, AND ECONOMY, OF THE U.S.A.,” Mr. Trump wrote. “Based on their egregious behavior, ALL TRADE NEGOTIATIONS WITH CANADA ARE HEREBY TERMINATED.”

Mr. Trump claimed that the ad was fake and said that it had been placed “to interfere with the decision of the U.S. Supreme Court,”

My comment: This is not going to help. Trump is an egomaniac run amok - cutting trade relations with our ally and neighbor because of an old ad? Trump can not bear even the tiniest bit of criticism, even from an old dead president. He is the ultimate victim snowflake, and our nation and the world suffer from every tantrum he has.
 
Paul Krugman
ROFL - when was that moron ever right? Meanwhile inflation was below the consensus.
  • Jun 7, 2018 — Economist Paul Krugman wrote that by 2005, it would become clear that the Internet's effect on the economy is no greater than the fax machine's.
  • he was wrong about survival of euro.
  • Wrongly predicted fall of dollar accompanying the housing bust in 008
  • Time and time again he predicted doom for Trump policy and in 10 years it has never happened. February 11: Paul Krugman expects a global recession this year, warns “we don’t have an effective response.”

    August 1: “Why Was Trumponomics a Flop?”

    August 15: “From Trump Boom to Trump Gloom”

    September 5: “Trumpism Is Bad for Business”

    October 3: “Here Comes the Trump Slump”

    October 24: “The Day the Trump Boom Died”
The mental midget of the markets.
 
ROFL - when was that moron ever right? Meanwhile inflation was below the consensus.
  • Jun 7, 2018 — Economist Paul Krugman wrote that by 2005, it would become clear that the Internet's effect on the economy is no greater than the fax machine's.
  • he was wrong about survival of euro.
  • Wrongly predicted fall of dollar accompanying the housing bust in 008
  • Time and time again he predicted doom for Trump policy and in 10 years it has never happened. February 11: Paul Krugman expects a global recession this year, warns “we don’t have an effective response.”

    August 1: “Why Was Trumponomics a Flop?”

    August 15: “From Trump Boom to Trump Gloom”

    September 5: “Trumpism Is Bad for Business”

    October 3: “Here Comes the Trump Slump”

    October 24: “The Day the Trump Boom Died”
The mental midget of the markets.
What he said about AI propping up the stock market and economy sounds valid.
I'm worried how long our economy will continue doing "well".
Thinking of selling much stocks next year in preparation of poor economy coming.
 
Target announced they're laying off thousands due to poor sales.

We need AI to hurry up and take over everything so we can start collecting UBI (Universal basic income).

That way, we can travel and see the things that we always wanted to and do the things we've always wanted to without the fear of working to pay the bills.

Although the robots working on Fernando's commercial properties would probably overheat and explode....thus, the AI bulldozer would come in and raze it...
 
ROFL - when was that moron ever right? Meanwhile inflation was below the consensus.
  • Jun 7, 2018 — Economist Paul Krugman wrote that by 2005, it would become clear that the Internet's effect on the economy is no greater than the fax machine's.
  • he was wrong about survival of euro.
  • Wrongly predicted fall of dollar accompanying the housing bust in 008
  • Time and time again he predicted doom for Trump policy and in 10 years it has never happened. February 11: Paul Krugman expects a global recession this year, warns “we don’t have an effective response.”

    August 1: “Why Was Trumponomics a Flop?”

    August 15: “From Trump Boom to Trump Gloom”

    September 5: “Trumpism Is Bad for Business”

    October 3: “Here Comes the Trump Slump”

    October 24: “The Day the Trump Boom Died”
The mental midget of the markets.

Trump's 'Liberation Day Tariffs' Have Backfired, Says Economist Paul Krugman: The Chinese 'Know What They're Doing,' America Doesn't​

Nobel Prize-winning economist Paul Krugman is warning that President Donald Trump’s “Liberation Day” tariffs are backfiring, as he argues that China now holds the upper hand in the escalating trade war.

In his newsletter on Monday, Krugman said that Trump’s tariff announcements six months ago were “a massive betrayal of the world's trust,” noting that previous tariff reductions were achieved “through many rounds of international negotiations, in which the U.S. and other nations solemnly agreed not to backtrack.”

Krugman said Trump now appears surprised that other countries are retaliating, referring to China’s new export controls on rare earths, which include several vital inputs for U.S. industry.

Reacting to the administration’s hypocrisy on the matter, Krugman said, “Gosh. Aggressive unilateral trade action is a ‘moral disgrace.' Who knew?”

Krugman said that there is “one big difference” between the trade strategies of the two countries, and it is that, unlike the U.S., “the Chinese appear to know what they're doing.”

He warned that “America is more vulnerable to a rupture than China is,” adding that “the U.S. economy is dependent on China for critical inputs, above all those rare earths.” While China can “stimulate domestic demand” to blunt the impact of lost exports, he cautioned that weaning off Chinese supply “would take years” to achieve.

He also stressed that Trump has eroded America's traditional sources of advantage, such as its scientific heft and relationships with allies. “So we may be entering into an all-out trade war with China, having destroyed the non-trade advantages America used to have.”

Krugman concluded, saying, “It's bad when the world sees you as a bully; it's worse when the world also sees you as weak,” while adding that, “the man who promised to make America great again has probably ended our position of global leadership for the foreseeable future.”
 
Krugman is trying to maintain a narrative. Concern about the economy has gone down 50% between Oct. 2024 and Oct. 2025.
 
Krugman is trying to maintain a narrative. Concern about the economy has gone down 50% between Oct. 2024 and Oct. 2025.
I don't know why you get your stats. Made up like Trump and RFK?
 
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