J Grant
Elite Member
- Joined
- Dec 9, 2003
- Professional Status
- Certified Residential Appraiser
- State
- Florida
The above three posts captured some of my thoughts. Investors have an astute feel for value and do real research. Private buyers rely on a mishmash of media reports, their friends opinions, Zillow, and ultimately rely on what their agent tells them.
Agents show buyers a CMA of unrealistic price and dis similar comps. Most buyers, price homes per $Sf, and as Tim said, think of all homes as equal in this method. Then add in that a seller does not take into account marketability issues , and a possibly faulty or inflated list price.
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Denis, in your post #9 you gave a good explanation of scenario #2, a MVO versus a SC price, within a range of adjusted values. Buyers also work within a range, a range of prices.
The top end of the range is a list price, and the bottom end is the first bid. If the list price is 450k , and the buyer's first offer is 400k, the range of negotiation is from 400k to 450k. Within that 50k range, where a SC price ends up is not necessarily the best MV indicator per criteria we use. The negotiated final price is more a reflection of who was more motivated, or more stubborn, who had more cash, the RE agent input, what the interest rates were, etc.
The fact that a MVO and a SC price does not line up shuld not be an appraisal problem in an ideal world, but it is, with even appraisers using terms like, "killing a deal", or "coming in low"....
Part of the confusion is that we develop a point value per MV definition, and that is a presumed hypothetical sale, not a "real" sale. Yet, appraisers point to the SC price as proof of the most probable price. Though the SC price deserves consideration as market data, the fact remains that the SC price is that of a "real" pending sale price, and the MVO is the price developed per a hypothetical sale .
The SC price is negotiated on a date, (pehaps 3 weeks prior), by a buyer and seller with limited market knowledge, and influenced by personal agenda, and motivations. Then we have the MVO, developed on a different date, (perhaps 3 weeks later), using a certain methodology and a higher level of market knowledge.
Two separately arrived at $ amounts arrived at on different dates , one $ amount is a price negotiated by parties with a vested interest in the deal, the other a value opinion from an unbiased professional ...how likely is it that the two $ amounts should be exactly the same?
Agents show buyers a CMA of unrealistic price and dis similar comps. Most buyers, price homes per $Sf, and as Tim said, think of all homes as equal in this method. Then add in that a seller does not take into account marketability issues , and a possibly faulty or inflated list price.
.
Denis, in your post #9 you gave a good explanation of scenario #2, a MVO versus a SC price, within a range of adjusted values. Buyers also work within a range, a range of prices.
The top end of the range is a list price, and the bottom end is the first bid. If the list price is 450k , and the buyer's first offer is 400k, the range of negotiation is from 400k to 450k. Within that 50k range, where a SC price ends up is not necessarily the best MV indicator per criteria we use. The negotiated final price is more a reflection of who was more motivated, or more stubborn, who had more cash, the RE agent input, what the interest rates were, etc.
The fact that a MVO and a SC price does not line up shuld not be an appraisal problem in an ideal world, but it is, with even appraisers using terms like, "killing a deal", or "coming in low"....
Part of the confusion is that we develop a point value per MV definition, and that is a presumed hypothetical sale, not a "real" sale. Yet, appraisers point to the SC price as proof of the most probable price. Though the SC price deserves consideration as market data, the fact remains that the SC price is that of a "real" pending sale price, and the MVO is the price developed per a hypothetical sale .
The SC price is negotiated on a date, (pehaps 3 weeks prior), by a buyer and seller with limited market knowledge, and influenced by personal agenda, and motivations. Then we have the MVO, developed on a different date, (perhaps 3 weeks later), using a certain methodology and a higher level of market knowledge.
Two separately arrived at $ amounts arrived at on different dates , one $ amount is a price negotiated by parties with a vested interest in the deal, the other a value opinion from an unbiased professional ...how likely is it that the two $ amounts should be exactly the same?
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