Joe Flacco
Elite Member
- Joined
- Jul 31, 2013
- Professional Status
- Certified Residential Appraiser
- State
- Maryland
The secondary market is what the problem is.
That's when they just hang a new sign and start anew.It does not take more than a relatively small number of repurchases push a smaller lender into bankruptcy.....I have seen it happen more than once. Also, when the mortgage market slows down, the model you describe of offsetting losses from repurchases by earning fees from other originations that they don't have to repurchase typically falls apart in specdtacular fashion.
Flacco, since mortgage insurers have nothing to with the selection of the appraiser, there is nothing an MI can do except either choose to insure the loan or not insure the loan based on the information in the loan file or based on the lender's delgation authority. Sure, on those non-delgated files that we do underwrite, we can pend the file for the lender to go back and ask the appraiser to provided additional comparable sales, clairfications, etc., but if we do that, the lender is likely going to flip the loan to another MI, so we may as well jsut decline the file if we don't like the appraisal.What you are saying shows that you as a secondary market insurer do not actually care about the appraisal development or appraisal adjustments. You just care about the valuation being reasonable.
That is what the problem is. You don't really care about how the appraisal is developed. That is how the secondary market thinks, that is how the loan sellers think, and that is probably how the appraisal providers for those sellers think.
Flacco, since mortgage insurers have nothing to with the selection of the appraiser, there is nothing an MI can do except either choose to insure the loan or not insure the loan based on the information in the loan file or based on the lender's delgation authority. Sure, on those non-delgated files that we do underwrite, we can pend the file for the lender to go back and ask the appraiser to provided additional comparable sales, clairfications, etc., but if we do that, the lender is likely going to flip the loan to another MI, so we may as well jsut decline the file if we don't like the appraisal.
Yes, pre-2008, that is exacltly what often happened. Now, it is not so easy to do that Additiuonally, even if you can setup a new entity and get it licensed, it is extermely difficult for a new company whose principals were invovled with a recently failed mortgage lender to obtain the financial backing, particularly warehouse lines of credit, needed to originate loans at a volume where you can actually make money.That's when they just hang a new sign and start anew.
First off f u..Probably the stupidest statement ever uttered by an appraiser, and many use it. Then defend made up sh%t in the next breath. No wonder there have been no cumulative gains in appraisal practice in 30 years. Stuck on stupid.
Can you name a single appraisal technique for which this is not true? It is amazing how willing appraisers are to demonstrate their ignorance. Those who never made any effort to comprehend "statistics" are the most sure it can't be useful or reliable, then go on to espouse the grand superiority of sensitivity analysis and how a range in values is superior to a point value while opining as to a most probable price. Stuck on stupid (SOS).
Coming in at contract price was not a crime and it's not stealing...not a great example or comparison your trying to make. At least fall back to the old stand by.. those are skippys or they need more training or the GSEs should discipline them or it's the AMCs....lol99% of the transactions at Walmart occur without shoplifting because everyone knows there are measures in place to discover and punish the crime. Take those away, and guess what happens.
Of course, the blind user satisfied to just punch the enter button to run someone else's program (that said user never attempted to understand) is no part of the problem. It is "stats" that is the problem. Adding ten more programs with the same approach will not add any additional insight. Do you know how Aloft or Spark or Synapse or HPI or MLS or MLS fast stats are doing what they are doing, and what they are doing it to? Maybe survey brokers and average their guesses and rely on that "support" too.Wow. Assxxxhole said what? Someone's panties are in a wad.
I use aloft, spark and Synapse. I also use MLS stats/data (sam) and the hpi.
Hpi said stable. MLS stats increasing. MLS fast stats had increasing. The comps, after adjustments indicated a stable market.
That is what I mean when I say stats