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Housing is Unaffordable for Young People

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I got it right on Volcker. Sure, he tamed inflation, but he did it by jacking up interest rates so high that he handed the entire economy over to creditors.
Volcker did what needed to be done to tame inflation and save our economy. Up until that point, no one had been able to stop the huge infaltionary spiral that had been going on for 10 years and no one had any better idea of how to tame inflation. While there were undoubtedly some unpleasant side effects from raising the rates to the levels necessary to tame inflation, what he did was compeltely necessary and saved the economy from what likely would have been a complete collapse eventually.

Let me ask, what would have been your solution to tame the cirppling inflation at the time? Nixon had tried to control inflation via wage and price controls in the early 70's, which predictably failed spectacularly.
 
College tuition was cheap back then....
When you had to earn it to go, it was still a stretch. Dad had to take disability retirement and while state colleges were cheaper, the really good schools cost a lot even then.
 
When you had to earn it to go, it was still a stretch. Dad had to take disability retirement and while state colleges were cheaper, the really good schools cost a lot even then.
The easier it is to get low interest loans the more prices rise, ceteris paribus. Of course there are other factors like supply and demand, regulations, zoning, etc.
 
Volcker did what needed to be done to tame inflation and save our economy. Up until that point, no one had been able to stop the huge infaltionary spiral that had been going on for 10 years and no one had any better idea of how to tame inflation. While there were undoubtedly some unpleasant side effects from raising the rates to the levels necessary to tame inflation, what he did was compeltely necessary and saved the economy from what likely would have been a complete collapse eventually.

Let me ask, what would have been your solution to tame the cirppling inflation at the time? Nixon had tried to control inflation via wage and price controls in the early 70's, which predictably failed spectacularly.

The argument that “Volcker did what needed to be done” overlooks a fundamental issue: no action, no matter how economically justified, can override basic moral laws. Throughout history, civilizations have recognized the dangers of usury—excessive interest rates that trap individuals and economies in cycles of debt. Volcker’s policies, particularly his removal of usury caps through the 1980 Depository Institutions Deregulation and Monetary Control Act, did not simply fight inflation; they permanently embedded high-interest lending into the American financial system. This shift marked a turning point where the economy became increasingly dependent on debt rather than wage growth and industrial production.


This same reasoning was used during the 2008 financial crisis, when reckless lending practices triggered a massive economic collapse, and the response was, “We had to bail out the banks to save the system.” The result? Banks and creditors emerged stronger, while ordinary Americans bore the burden through foreclosures, job losses, and long-term financial instability. Similarly, in the 1980s, Volcker’s aggressive rate hikes devastated small businesses, homeowners, and workers, all under the justification that it was a “necessary” sacrifice. However, just because an action achieves a desired outcome does not mean it was the only or the best course of action. The long-term consequences of Volcker’s policies—namely, the financialization of the U.S. economy and the normalization of predatory lending—demonstrate that he did not just tame inflation; he fundamentally restructured the economy in a way that prioritized creditors over workers.
 
Let me ask, what would have been your solution to tame the cirppling inflation at the time? Nixon had tried to control inflation via wage and price controls in the early 70's, which predictably failed spectacularly.

People act like Volcker had no other choice, but come on—that’s just not true. Yeah, Nixon’s wage and price controls flopped, but that doesn’t mean the only option was cranking interest rates so high that businesses went under and people lost their homes. There were other ways to handle inflation without wrecking the working class. The Fed could’ve targeted credit controls—clamping down on reckless speculation and luxury spending while keeping rates reasonable for homebuyers and small businesses. Inflation wasn’t just about too much demand; a lot of it came from oil shocks and supply chain messes, so instead of just nuking the economy, why not push for energy independence and smarter industrial policy? Other countries handled inflation with inflation-indexed wages and bonds to keep prices in check without throwing millions of people into unemployment.


The reality is, Volcker didn’t pick the only solution—he picked the one that hit regular people the hardest while making sure banks and creditors came out on top. And just like in 2008, when Wall Street got bailed out while homeowners got screwed, the financial elite won, and everyone else got stuck paying the bill. So no, “he had no choice” isn’t a defense. He had plenty of choices—he just made sure the banks came first.
 
The argument that “Volcker did what needed to be done” overlooks a fundamental issue: no action, no matter how economically justified, can override basic moral laws. Throughout history, civilizations have recognized the dangers of usury—excessive interest rates that trap individuals and economies in cycles of debt. Volcker’s policies, particularly his removal of usury caps through the 1980 Depository Institutions Deregulation and Monetary Control Act, did not simply fight inflation; they permanently embedded high-interest lending into the American financial system. This shift marked a turning point where the economy became increasingly dependent on debt rather than wage growth and industrial production.


This same reasoning was used during the 2008 financial crisis, when reckless lending practices triggered a massive economic collapse, and the response was, “We had to bail out the banks to save the system.” The result? Banks and creditors emerged stronger, while ordinary Americans bore the burden through foreclosures, job losses, and long-term financial instability. Similarly, in the 1980s, Volcker’s aggressive rate hikes devastated small businesses, homeowners, and workers, all under the justification that it was a “necessary” sacrifice. However, just because an action achieves a desired outcome does not mean it was the only or the best course of action. The long-term consequences of Volcker’s policies—namely, the financialization of the U.S. economy and the normalization of predatory lending—demonstrate that he did not just tame inflation; he fundamentally restructured the economy in a way that prioritized creditors over workers.
One of the big issues is political. A lot of people won't accept short term pain for overall gain. Plus we have a political party that is literally pro fraud and waste in our spending. We can do some help now, but if Dems want scammers in Bangladesh and illegals to get Social security they will again soon.
 
When the Fed raised rates to 18% in '81 I got a $10K CD at 16% for 5 years. I can't tell you how many times the local bank called me practically begging and offering something like a 10% for 10 years. I kept the 16%.

But I also remember paying $0.19/gal for gas and 6 mo. later paying $0.55/gal, back in the mid 70's. Dad always got $2.00 in gas and it would be about 1/2 tank. My first couple jobs paid $1.60/hr and I had money to spare.

All of this arguing about various statistics sounds like a group of economists and I think we all know how often and how accurate economists generally are...somewhere less credible than your average, long-term weather forecast.

Back to the OP...bottom line is that house prices are going to have to fall. Question is when and by how much? We're starting to see it here; how long until it spreads across the US. Lennar, DR Horton, et.al. will have to find a way to accept less than their current 30-35% profit. They can't make the houses much cheaper (in quality) than they currently build; its got to come from somewhere. One thing we are seeing is more duplex 'patio homes' and attached townhomes to try to keep the prices lower. 10-12 units/acre instead of 3-4.
 
People act like Volcker had no other choice, but come on—that’s just not true. Yeah, Nixon’s wage and price controls flopped, but that doesn’t mean the only option was cranking interest rates so high that businesses went under and people lost their homes. There were other ways to handle inflation without wrecking the working class. The Fed could’ve targeted credit controls—clamping down on reckless speculation and luxury spending while keeping rates reasonable for homebuyers and small businesses. Inflation wasn’t just about too much demand; a lot of it came from oil shocks and supply chain messes, so instead of just nuking the economy, why not push for energy independence and smarter industrial policy? Other countries handled inflation with inflation-indexed wages and bonds to keep prices in check without throwing millions of people into unemployment.


The reality is, Volcker didn’t pick the only solution—he picked the one that hit regular people the hardest while making sure banks and creditors came out on top. And just like in 2008, when Wall Street got bailed out while homeowners got screwed, the financial elite won, and everyone else got stuck paying the bill. So no, “he had no choice” isn’t a defense. He had plenty of choices—he just made sure the banks came first.
You live in an alternate fantasy universe. The 1970's and early 1980's were not a time where there was widespread reckless speculation and luxury spending. Inflation-indexed wages as a solution?" - What a joke - that is just a euphemism for wage and price controls, which never work out. (You claimm that was successful in other countries - please tell me when and where). Energy independence? You apparently don't realize that you can't just increase oil and other energy production overnight and you apparently don't realize that they tried as hard as possible to achieve energy independence as the number oil rigs operating in the US was at an all time high in the early 80's, peaking in 1981 (see the chart below). Everything you say is complete nonsense.


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