The Premier Online Community for Real Estate Appraisers!
-
Welcome to AppraisersForum.com, the premier online
community for the discussion of real estate appraisal. Register a free account to be able to post and unlock additional forums and features.
Appraiser Shortage Myth
- Thread starter gregb
- Start date
TerryRohrer
Elite Member
- Joined
- Aug 13, 2005
- Professional Status
- Certified General Appraiser
- State
- Montana
He is going to get Harmonization Task Forced! That analysis suggests that TAF is a bunch of manipulative, lying, political slugs. Oh, yeah, they are!
"The Appraisal Foundation (TAF) has committed $1.22 million over the next three years to fully fund enrollments in an approved Practical Applications of Real Estate Appraisal (PAREA) program through the Foundation Pathways to Success Scholarship."
"This initiative is rooted in the Foundation’s strategic plan, which calls for building a strong new generation of appraisers to further public trust in the profession. By working together to streamline state-level requirements that exceed AQB criteria, the Task Force aims to:
"The Appraisal Foundation (TAF) has committed $1.22 million over the next three years to fully fund enrollments in an approved Practical Applications of Real Estate Appraisal (PAREA) program through the Foundation Pathways to Success Scholarship."
"This initiative is rooted in the Foundation’s strategic plan, which calls for building a strong new generation of appraisers to further public trust in the profession. By working together to streamline state-level requirements that exceed AQB criteria, the Task Force aims to:
- Expand access to licensure
- Increase the number of qualified appraisers
- Align with the evolving needs of the profession"
TAF announces new State Harmonization Task Force project | News | Valuation Review
From The Appraisal Foundation’s (TAF) May newsletter, the State Harmonization Task Force project was announced, with TAF President Kelly Davids sharing more May highlights with appraisers.
www.valuationreview.com
Carnivore
Elite Member
- Joined
- Jan 15, 2002
- Professional Status
- Certified Residential Appraiser
- State
- North Carolina
I never really understood the parea concept. I have been told I was wrong by someone who would know about a future shortage of appraisers.
At some point the baby boomers will retire or just give up. and even drop dead. There can't be a shortage because each appraiser in my state can have three trainee's I have not checked my state may have changed that. In NC unlike RE Brokers their is no inactive status for appraisers. You either renew OR your licenses expires. Once it expires you have to start all over as a trainee if you want to come back in. I am convinced the NC State does this on purpose to keep the supply high enough to meet client future needs.
At some point the baby boomers will retire or just give up. and even drop dead. There can't be a shortage because each appraiser in my state can have three trainee's I have not checked my state may have changed that. In NC unlike RE Brokers their is no inactive status for appraisers. You either renew OR your licenses expires. Once it expires you have to start all over as a trainee if you want to come back in. I am convinced the NC State does this on purpose to keep the supply high enough to meet client future needs.
TerryRohrer
Elite Member
- Joined
- Aug 13, 2005
- Professional Status
- Certified General Appraiser
- State
- Montana
The stupid and crooked people are controlling the narratives to further the agendas they are serving, usually without identifying the agendas they are serving. We have been on the brink of starvation for 50 years because the number of farmers has been declining and their average age has been increasing. No signs of hunger in the land of obesity yet. If there was any good data, I suspect the average age of active appraisers has hardly changed during the past 40 years. If you keep them broke, everyone works til they die!
AI "Industries in the USA with the oldest workforces, often averaging near or above 50 years of age in specific roles, include agriculture, forestry, fishing, and hunting, as well as utilities, manufacturing, and religious organizations. These sectors face significant aging trends, with farmers, ranchers, and maintenance/repair services reporting some of the highest median ages."
AI "Industries in the USA with the oldest workforces, often averaging near or above 50 years of age in specific roles, include agriculture, forestry, fishing, and hunting, as well as utilities, manufacturing, and religious organizations. These sectors face significant aging trends, with farmers, ranchers, and maintenance/repair services reporting some of the highest median ages."
Carnivore
Elite Member
- Joined
- Jan 15, 2002
- Professional Status
- Certified Residential Appraiser
- State
- North Carolina
I do know that the USA fertility rate is not replacing the aging population. Young married couples our not having many children if any. This is why we have to have immigration. It is an imperative.
OSU Beavers
Elite Member
- Joined
- Jan 10, 2007
- Professional Status
- Licensed Appraiser
- State
- Oregon
Speak for yourself. The wife and I have four boys. One is married with a daughter. They would like to have more but cannot afford a house.
Carnivore
Elite Member
- Joined
- Jan 15, 2002
- Professional Status
- Certified Residential Appraiser
- State
- North Carolina
Here you go, The United States is experiencing a sustained decline in fertility:
factually.co
esearchers report the total fertility rate hit a record low of about 1.6 births per woman in 2024, well below the 2.1 replacement level <a href="https://publichealth.jhu.edu/2026/is-the-us-birth-rate-declining" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">[1]</a> <a href="https://govfacts.org/long-term-chal...storic-low-what-it-means-for-americas-future/" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">[2]</a>. Official birth counts and short-term trends are mixed—CDC final 2024 data show a 1% rise in the number of births to 3,628,934 even as the general fertility rate edged down, and preliminary reports indicate births fell again in 2025—while long-range forecasts warn of slowing population growth that could reverse by mid-century without higher immigration or unexpected fertility changes <a href="https://www.cdc.gov/nchs/products/databriefs/db535.htm" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">[3]</a>
Birth rates are declining in the United States to lowe...
Executive summary The United States is experiencing a sustained decline in fertility: researchers report the total fertility rate hit a record low of abo...
esearchers report the total fertility rate hit a record low of about 1.6 births per woman in 2024, well below the 2.1 replacement level <a href="https://publichealth.jhu.edu/2026/is-the-us-birth-rate-declining" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">[1]</a> <a href="https://govfacts.org/long-term-chal...storic-low-what-it-means-for-americas-future/" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">[2]</a>. Official birth counts and short-term trends are mixed—CDC final 2024 data show a 1% rise in the number of births to 3,628,934 even as the general fertility rate edged down, and preliminary reports indicate births fell again in 2025—while long-range forecasts warn of slowing population growth that could reverse by mid-century without higher immigration or unexpected fertility changes <a href="https://www.cdc.gov/nchs/products/databriefs/db535.htm" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">[3]</a>
Last edited:
OSU Beavers
Elite Member
- Joined
- Jan 10, 2007
- Professional Status
- Licensed Appraiser
- State
- Oregon
Yes, they have been telling Heratage Americans for decades to save the environment and have fewer kids. At the same time they demand immigration because we are not having enough babies while telling us that...
George Hatch
Elite Member
- Joined
- Jan 15, 2002
- Professional Status
- Certified General Appraiser
- State
- California
I haven't done an analysis on it, but his analysis makes sense to me. I believe the demand for appraiser hours has been contracting faster than the supply of appraiser hours. If it wasn't then the clients would be competing for appraisers in the form of higher fees and would tolerate longer turn times. If it wasn't the clients would be actively encouraging "did not inspect" countersignatures for trainees.
OSU Beavers
Elite Member
- Joined
- Jan 10, 2007
- Professional Status
- Licensed Appraiser
- State
- Oregon
I would like to know if "Waived Appraisals" are just those borrowers offered/approved "Appraisal Waivers" or if it includes any AVM, Desktop only or other BS besides a full 1004 or even a 2055 signed by a licensed appraiser who actually visited the subject?