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Commercial rent increases

Fernando

Elite Member
Joined
Nov 7, 2016
Professional Status
Certified Residential Appraiser
State
California
Potential restaurant tenant wants a 10 year lease.
From your recent experience in viewing leases, would 4% increase a year be reasonable for next 10 years for a medium size restaurant?
 
Maybe half that. They have to sell a lot of plates to pay for a 2500sf restaurant space in a multi-tenant retail.
Ten years is a long time. Set terms benefit tenants when market rents go up.
In 10 years, economy should be doing much better than now.
 
I'm not usually seeing annual increases above 3% unless the beginning rents were known by both parties to be below market. You could tie the rent increases to CPI
Thanks for your feedback. I thought asking 4% was too low.
Then I should be satisfied if potential tenant agrees to 4%/year for 10 years.
With 10 year Treasuries over 4%, I thought it would be reasonable. Don't other lessors look at long term bond rates in their future rent increases?
 
Prospective tenant is asking 2% annual increase. WTF.
That's not keeping up with inflation.
 
Prospective tenant is asking 2% annual increase. WTF.
How much vacancy will result in your return being less than inflation? 1 month vacant in a year is much worse and by squeezing every last nickel out of a renter you are almost certainly insuring that they will bail out at the first sign of cheaper rents elsewhere or go broke and leave. Can't get blood from a turnip.
 
What is the current vacancy rate for similar multi-tenant retail units in this area? Retail rents for avg locations have not come anywhere close to keeping pace with the CPI. The restaurant business itself is already taking a beating over payroll inflation and food inflation.

Commercial isn't like residential. You can't always just lower the rent and find a tenant. Businesses have to be economically viable in order to pay the rent. If they're not breaking even the first expense to not get paid is the rent.
 
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