hastalavista
Elite Member
- Joined
- May 16, 2005
- Professional Status
- Certified General Appraiser
- State
- California
We’ve been talking about appraisals failing to adequately comment on their analysis and conclusion (failing to adequately comment is a specific term I use, but you get the gist).
Here is an example of what I consider an inadequately explained analysis and value conclusion (which I am reviewing now):
Facts: Subject is new construction, purchased in the latter part last year for approximately $525k. It is located in a new development; this development has a premium amenity (golf course, for example) where being “on” this amenity carries a location premium. The development is 1,000+ homes, and there are several builders within the development. So, there is a range of styles. Prices appear to range from $500k to $750k+.
Three comps are included in the appraisal. Unadjusted range is $575k to $625k. These are similar in GLA, bed/bath count and garage count. No adjustments are made. All ages for the comps are shown as “1-yr”. Comps closed within 1-month (2-comps) and 4 months (1-comp) of effective date of appraisal. Final value is within the adjusted range (close to the mid-point).
Report correctly indicates subject’s previous sale price and notes that all comps are new sales (same builder, although not mentioned in the report).
Report comments are, essentially, equal weight given to all comps, final value is supported.
Report includes statement that the assignment was developed and reported in compliance with SR-1 and SR-2-2.
Review Facts summary:
All of the comps are builder sales with no comment on their credits/concessions/premiums, etc (if they exist; which, the variance in price may suggest). The two most recent comps, by the way, sale for $25k to $50k lower than the oldest comp.
There is no comment or review of the ongoing listing activity. I can purchase the subject’s match for probably 8% lower than the appraised value; there are other, slightly smaller homes that can be purchased for $80k lower.
The report did not consider any re-sales or any non-builder sales or any sales outside of the development to provide support for the value conclusion.
The common sense question here is if the owner (let alone the lender) put the house up for sale, would their sale price be close to the report’s value? All data outside of the report would indicate a very strong “NO”.
Could the subject be worth what the appraisal concluded? Possibly.
Does the report, as presented, support its value? Only superficially; if one does not research anything else and take the report’s “best comps” comments as fact, one could say “yes”. However, a minimal review of the data raises significant questions.
In order to support the value, should the report have commented on things it apparently didn’t include? Such as, the numerous listings available for purchase below the appraised value, the numerous expired listings at and above the report’s value, and if the developer is currently offering any similar sales, and if so, at what price?
The report should have if it wants to make a credible argument that its value is reasonable. It didn’t. This, to me, is a prime example of where a report fails to adequately explain its analysis and value conclusions so that I, the reader, can follow along.
Anyone want to argue (and Edd, you know who you are:new_smile-l: ), that I, as a review, have over-stepped the original appraiser’s SOW and am asking questions that are inappropriate since the appraiser developed his/her analysis consistent to what he/she thought was appropriate given the fee and turn-time?
(ps- I'll have to come back to this on Sunday; I'm outta town for now!)
Here is an example of what I consider an inadequately explained analysis and value conclusion (which I am reviewing now):
Facts: Subject is new construction, purchased in the latter part last year for approximately $525k. It is located in a new development; this development has a premium amenity (golf course, for example) where being “on” this amenity carries a location premium. The development is 1,000+ homes, and there are several builders within the development. So, there is a range of styles. Prices appear to range from $500k to $750k+.
Three comps are included in the appraisal. Unadjusted range is $575k to $625k. These are similar in GLA, bed/bath count and garage count. No adjustments are made. All ages for the comps are shown as “1-yr”. Comps closed within 1-month (2-comps) and 4 months (1-comp) of effective date of appraisal. Final value is within the adjusted range (close to the mid-point).
Report correctly indicates subject’s previous sale price and notes that all comps are new sales (same builder, although not mentioned in the report).
Report comments are, essentially, equal weight given to all comps, final value is supported.
Report includes statement that the assignment was developed and reported in compliance with SR-1 and SR-2-2.
Review Facts summary:
- This is in a new development; there is no comment if the development is still “open” and what the current sales range is and if there is any builder discounts occurring.
- All sales are builder sales- there is no non-builder sale or re-sales. There is no comment about base price, upgrades, concessions, etc. for these sales; there is no explanation why the builder sells these homes for a $50k difference, but the appraiser considers them all equal.
- There is no reference to verification at the sales office of any kind.
- I searched all the data sources an appraiser would have in this area (1-MLS system, MLS tax, County Recorder, 2-data source providers; my most recent updates for this county are 8/17/06; after the effective date of the appraisal and COE of comps); I found no record of any of the comps when referenced by address, sale price, COE date, APN (I was able to figure out two of them). The report cites a doc# and the county as the data source.
- A review of the market reveals that there are numerous expired sales below the appraised value, current active listings from $525k to $590k, many with “seller must sell; bring any offer”. There is one model match that has been active for 110 days, originally listed below the report’s value opinion, and now listed 5+/-% below the report’s value opinion.
- There are additional inconsistencies.
All of the comps are builder sales with no comment on their credits/concessions/premiums, etc (if they exist; which, the variance in price may suggest). The two most recent comps, by the way, sale for $25k to $50k lower than the oldest comp.
There is no comment or review of the ongoing listing activity. I can purchase the subject’s match for probably 8% lower than the appraised value; there are other, slightly smaller homes that can be purchased for $80k lower.
The report did not consider any re-sales or any non-builder sales or any sales outside of the development to provide support for the value conclusion.
The common sense question here is if the owner (let alone the lender) put the house up for sale, would their sale price be close to the report’s value? All data outside of the report would indicate a very strong “NO”.
Could the subject be worth what the appraisal concluded? Possibly.
Does the report, as presented, support its value? Only superficially; if one does not research anything else and take the report’s “best comps” comments as fact, one could say “yes”. However, a minimal review of the data raises significant questions.
In order to support the value, should the report have commented on things it apparently didn’t include? Such as, the numerous listings available for purchase below the appraised value, the numerous expired listings at and above the report’s value, and if the developer is currently offering any similar sales, and if so, at what price?
The report should have if it wants to make a credible argument that its value is reasonable. It didn’t. This, to me, is a prime example of where a report fails to adequately explain its analysis and value conclusions so that I, the reader, can follow along.
Anyone want to argue (and Edd, you know who you are:new_smile-l: ), that I, as a review, have over-stepped the original appraiser’s SOW and am asking questions that are inappropriate since the appraiser developed his/her analysis consistent to what he/she thought was appropriate given the fee and turn-time?
(ps- I'll have to come back to this on Sunday; I'm outta town for now!)