Are there any Excel wizards on the forum who can provide a spreadsheet formula for multi-point time adjustments?
Nobody here can read, I guess; Nope. Nobody has answered your question. --- Well, if they can read, they don't understand much. Look at Surf Cat who complains I don't recognize his genius - and he is in my state of California. He should know better.
Besides market conditions (e.g. date of sale) we have many other factors that affect sale price, especially in the metro areas of California. If you look at sale prices, the only way you are going to get legitimate trend functions of date of sale is by first extracting all the other factors and then deal with what is left. That takes MARS. And practically speaking, that is ALL that is available.
MARS will give you a model (formula) that predicts price based on measured features. For Time, that is simply date of sale. This model provides a base function for date of sale that can be easily converted to an Excel formula - just by asking ChatGPT. Suppose your date of sale function changes the trend of sale price at four different dates in the past ( t1, t2, t3, t4) and here are these for coefficients (slopes) for each of the 5 segments (c0,c1,c2,c3,c4), the formula will look something like:
=IF(A2<=t1, c0,
IF(A2<=t2, c0 + c1*(A2-t1),
IF(A2<=t3, c0 + c1*(t2-t1) + c2*(A2-t2),
IF(A2<=t4, c0 + c1*(t2-t1) + c2*(t3-t2) + c3*(A2-t3),
c0 + c1*(t2-t1) + c2*(t3-t2) + c3*(t4-t3) + c4*(A2-t4)))))
This is from a MARS function that might look something like:
Selected 5 of 9 terms, and 4 of 1 predictors
Importance: DOS-1.000
Number of terms at each degree of interaction: 1 4
GCV 1.234 RSS 567.89 GRSq 0.678 RSq 0.701
Basis Functions:
(Intercept)
h(DOS-2020.5)
h(2021.2-DOS)
h(DOS-2022.1)
h(DOS-2023.8)
Coefficients:
(Intercept) 15432.5
h(DOS-2020.5) 1250.3
h(2021.2-DOS) -2100.7
h(DOS-2022.1) 3456.2
h(DOS-2023.8) -1800.4