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Regression Analysis for GLA

cushie0105

Freshman Member
Joined
Mar 8, 2009
Professional Status
Certified Residential Appraiser
State
Pennsylvania
Is it possible to extract an adjustment from the market for the GLA $ per sqft adjustment? I notice I can’t extract GLA or garages for some reason.

Is there a trick to extracting the GLA adjustment?
 
Graph Sale Price (vertical axis) and GLA (horizontal axis) in Excel, then add best fit line.

How are you trying garage stalls?
 
For garages I do township wide jonlakefronts 1500-3000 sf. Then get the average for no garage. Then get the average for 1 car then 2 car.

Everytime I do it I get a $25,000 difference
 
Graph Sale Price (vertical axis) and GLA (horizontal axis) in Excel, then add best fit line.
Yes, but instead of sale price, use the adjusted sale price on the y-axis.
After all other adjustments are made, use the ASP.
 
The actual 'adjustment' (if you're doing a bivariate regression) would be the number attached to the 'x' in the best fit equation. Remember that the equation for a line is Y = mX + B, where B is the Y intercept when x = $0 (for obvious reasons). Let's say your line equation is: y = $100,000 + $102.3x. The actual adjustment factor, then, would be $102.3.
 
Is it possible to extract an adjustment from the market for the GLA $ per sqft adjustment? I notice I can’t extract GLA or garages for some reason.

Is there a trick to extracting the GLA adjustment?

With MARS regression, you can extract adjustments for many features - as long as they are providing a significant contribution to the sale price.

NOTE:

1. Regression does not directly give you adjustments - it gives you value contributions. Generally speaking, you should take the value contribution for the subject minus the value contribution for a given comparable to get the adjustment. This method also handles non-linear regression models such as MARS, that is models where the price/sf will change between smaller and larger GLA homes.

2. You can't get a good adjustment on one feature alone, you need all of them because there is so much collinearity between different features. For example, GLA is invariably co-linear with Room Counts - larger homes also have more rooms. GLA is often co-linear with lot size and stories. And "garage bays" is usually co-linear with GLA. Another example is that large homes are usually worth more if they have an appropriate number of bathrooms.

... There is so much more to it.
 
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