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"The Food Crisis of 2011" - Commodities

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You ain't kidding! Go buy corn for cattle feed. Our feed bill has doubled in the last 6 months.
 
Food prices are also linked with energy prices. If energy prices go up, so do food prices. Increase in demand just makes it worse.
 
You ain't kidding! Go buy corn for cattle feed. Our feed bill has doubled in the last 6 months.

If I remember correctly corn was at $3.25 and beans were at $7.75 in June. Now they are $5.30 and $11.50.

No need to panic, this happened about 6 years ago.
 
QE2 has the downside of driving commodities up...the farmer ain't getting the extra dough. I know one farmer who forward contracted 8,000 bu. of soybeans at $10. Market went to $12. Dry August yielded Big Pod...small bean. He sweated bullets to finally fill the contract without having to buy $12 soybeans to sell for $10.
 
If I remember correctly corn was at $3.25 and beans were at $7.75 in June. Now they are $5.30 and $11.50.

No need to panic, this happened about 6 years ago.
Believe me, I remember when my feed bills go sky high. You are about the commodity prices but that is only a superficial look. The difference this time is QEII and the current state of the economy. I am not in a panic but if I couldn't raise all of my own food, I might.
 
Sleeping business fellas

I am germinating spinach right now. I got a full winter garden. More and more folks come by the house and ask for things out of my garden just to eat.


Paint commodities:

At Thanksgiving I was eating dinner with a fella who is a painting contractor down in Orlando ......... he says in the last five years his paint has gone from $10 per gallon to $21 per gallon.

He has never seen it like this down there. He is surprised that things are this bad. I talked with another business fellow yesterday in the office supply business. He is bad off ... he is still in the belief that things will turn around in about 6 months. Both of these guys are business fellas ... both give you the impression they know how to make a buck ...... but they have no clue about the broader financial perspectives facing the country.

these kind of folks are still asleep ......
 
My hubby listens to Glen Beck, and he is a recent addition to a local radio station. He turned him on the other morning, and the conversation was about flour and sugar - evidently a major player in the markets (helped to collapse the European market to fill his own pockets) is busy buying sugar plantations in Brazil . . . the word from this Beck fellow was to buy flour and sugar now . . . I have never listened to Beck and don't know how true his words are, but I have purchased several bags of both at the recent discounted prices - flour freezes well, not too sure about sugar, both have a limited shelf life . . .

On the appraisal side, when corn prices spiked a couple years ago, some local farmers were anticipating a huge increase in agricultural land - some folks bought in a panic, paid about $1,000 too much an acre.
 
Food prices are also linked with energy prices
exactly. A friend who repairs tractors on the side and has worked for banks repo'ing equipment from bankrupted poultry farms came by to borrow a key from my Kioti brand tractor. The keys are pretty much interchangable and he went to have one made once he could show the key maker what the blank looked like. He bought the tractor from a bank but they had no key. He mentioned he had sold his "big" tractor because cutting hay 8 hours was using almost 86 gallons of fuel... That is $24 an hour operating cost for fuel alone....He was seeking the highly fuel efficient Duetz air-cooled motor in an older tractor but the government is now stopping the sale of air-cooled motors...saving the environment by requiring engines that use more fuel... go figure.

farmers were anticipating a huge increase in agricultural land... paid about $1,000 too much an acre
You will see that every time and it has bankrupted a many a young farmer...and usually that young farmer never recoups, which explains why the average age of a farmer today is well north of 50.
they know how to make a buck ...... but they have no clue about the broader financial perspectives
Who moved their cheese? Like the mouse, they can't figure out what happened because they are myoptic to the mega-shift in the economy that is taking place.
The dominate players are now the Asians, the S. Americans, and the Mid-East. Europe and N. American are oysters that suck in whatever falls to bottom and cannot get out of the way of themselves. The world is changing before our eyes and we are about to become a second rate nation but not before we spend ourselves into the poor house fighting wars for everyone else.
As bad as it is that Wikileaks leaked the info, what do you think about Saudi Arabia and others urging us to bomb the Iranians...who does it benefit the most? Those who urge us to bomb them. Who does it hurt the worst? Us....those mad bombers.

I have a lot of Realtors ask me "When will prices improve?" My stock reply is when the price stops to fall... or as a smart young banker noted to me one day... "We held on to repo's too long thinking we'd get our money back when "things got better"... now we realize that things are not going to get better so we cannot even get what we could have 2 years ago....and it is going to force us to have a fire sale soon and give it away. And at that point, we will see land prices go up...after our inventory is already gone." My calculation is that they can only hold land for 5 years...we have at least 2 more years before the flood of shadow inventory has to come off the shelf and when the recent surge in foreclosures those who grimly were hanging on now realize they should have thrown in the towel early on, resumed their lives, and the banks should have had the fire sale already. This could easily string out another decade or longer.
 
The Dollar Meltdown is an excellent book explaining how this relates to the current economic conditions. If I remember correctly it was written in early 2009, and many of the predictions are right on in regards to how best to protect ones investments. He predicted large increases in commodities, precious metals, energy prices, etc.
 
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