What will 2025 bring to the stock market?

[Fernando]

Highly doubtful. The Chinese don't have much leverage because they are export-dependent. They have effectively lost their best customer which represents nearly one-quarter of their output.

When Biden put sanctions on Russia, the Russian economy still did well. Why do you think tariffs will change Xi's mind?

 

[Charles West]

When Biden put sanctions on Russia, the Russian economy still did well. Why do you think tariffs will change Xi's mind?

Biden didn't enforce his sanctions which is why what happened happened.

 

[glenn walker]

Poor Gump.

 

[Fernando]

Biden didn't enforce his sanctions which is why what happened happened.

MSN

Russian GDP up 1.4% in March, economy ministry says​

Russia's gross domestic product (GDP) grew by 1.4% in March year-on-year after expanding by 0.7% in February, the economy ministry said on Wednesday.

For the first quarter this year, GDP grew by 1.7% in year-on-year terms compared to growth of 5.4% in January-March 2024, the ministry said.

Economists in a Reuters poll said they see growth slowing to 1.6% in 2025, down from 4.3% in 2024.

The economy ministry forecast 2025 annual growth of 2.5%, compared with a central bank prediction of 1-2%.

DON'T KNOW IF THEIR GOVERNMENT STATS ARE ACCURATE BUT TRUMP HAS TO DO BETTER.

 

[Charles West]

MSN

Russian GDP up 1.4% in March, economy ministry says​

Russia's gross domestic product (GDP) grew by 1.4% in March year-on-year after expanding by 0.7% in February, the economy ministry said on Wednesday.

For the first quarter this year, GDP grew by 1.7% in year-on-year terms compared to growth of 5.4% in January-March 2024, the ministry said.

Economists in a Reuters poll said they see growth slowing to 1.6% in 2025, down from 4.3% in 2024.

The economy ministry forecast 2025 annual growth of 2.5%, compared with a central bank prediction of 1-2%.

DON'T KNOW IF THEIR GOVERNMENT STATS ARE ACCURATE BUT TRUMP HAS TO DO BETTER.

We are running a 3 to 3.5% growth rate right now.

 

[Fernando]

We are running a 3 to 3.5% growth rate right now.

U.S. economy went into reverse in the first quarter, new GDP data shows

The economy shrank 0.3% in the first three months of the year, a steep downturn from the pace of growth in 2024.

www.cbsnews.com

U.S. economy went into reverse in the first quarter, new GDP data shows​

U.S. economic growth slowed sharply in the first quarter of 2025 as businesses rushed to stockpile goods ahead of President Trump's sweeping tariff policies.

The nation's gross domestic product — the total value of products and services — shrank at a 0.3% annual rate, down from growth of 2.4% in the final three months of 2024, the Commerce Department reported Wednesday in its initial GDP estimate. It's the worst quarterly performance for the U.S. economy since early 2022, when the economy was in recovery after cratering during the COVID pandemic.

The U.S. economy was forecast to show 0.8% growth in the first three months of 2025, according to the average estimate of economists polled by FactSet.

The slowdown comes amid growing concerns that Mr. Trump's wide-ranging tariffs could disrupt the U.S. economy, with some economists raising the chances of the U.S. slipping into a recession in 2025. Although the Trump administration's blanket tariffs were announced on April 2 — after the end of the quarter — businesses sought to get ahead of the impact of the import duties by front-loading purchases early in the year.

 

[Joe Flacco]

Filled the tariff gap and fighting the moving average.

 

[Joe Flacco]

Still fighting the moving average.

 

[Gobears81]

Still fighting the moving average.

I focused quite a bit on sentiment, but when everyone claims to be bearish yet buys the dips en masse, not sure if that is so reliable. Either way, this is a particularly low volume day and at the top of the bollinger band, so another small pullback is probably in the cards. But something that I've learned over the past few years, and particularly over the past couple of months, is to never underestimate the government's ability to **** things up.

 

[Joe Flacco]

I focused quite a bit on sentiment, but when everyone claims to be bearish yet buys the dips en masse, not sure if that is so reliable. Either way, this is a particularly low volume day and at the top of the bollinger band, so another small pullback is probably in the cards. But something that I've learned over the past few years, and particularly over the past couple of months, is to never underestimate the government's ability to **** things up.

Sentiment can be positive or negative but someone is buying when others are selling and someone is selling when others are buying.

The 2022 high is a very obvious level where buyers would step in. Prior resistence = new support.

The late comers into the move always get punished. We can debate if the government made it happen forever but at the end of the day it is just very normal market behavior and price action.

Personally, I think it is going to test that level at least one more time.