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The Appraiser Shortage Myth Part 43

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The biggest "flaw" is the use of national data to examine a localized issue. Using national appraiser stats to look examine the issue is like using national housing data to determine if there is a housing shortage in Nashville.

But that's not what they are doing.

They are using the National Data to show that Nationally, the country has to have their AVMs going forward to "modernize" the process, cut appraisal time, make up for appraiser shortages, and make their BS the top "must have" in the real estate industry.

Joan's little idea to make money and all the AMC BS tactics of "selling it" are being used against the AMC and appraisal industry to replace us all with the "government" data.

Good job!

Those that need volume to survive will die first.

those that make a living off of those that produce the work, will die next.

Those that produce the work will dwindle, but are needed to feed the beast.

Enter Corelogic and Mercury..

Can't beat youse guys strategies.

Econ 101.

Business degrees should have been required.

Seems that Russian Roulette has found the magic chamber.

..
 
In regard to appraiser stats, I would be interested in the number of appraisers that have simply bailed on Fannie/Freddie work, or currently will only accept very specific assignments where in the past they would accept anything that comes along.

That type of information isn't going to come from simply processing raw data coming in from Fannie/Freddie assignments. And that type of information is essential to having an informed discussion on the matter.
 
In regard to appraiser stats, I would be interested in the number of appraisers that have simply bailed on Fannie/Freddie work, or currently will only accept very specific assignments where in the past they would accept anything that comes along.

That type of information isn't going to come from simply processing raw data coming in from Fannie/Freddie assignments. And that type of information is essential to having an informed discussion on the matter.
Maybe Fannie used a very special, unique, proprietary UAD type algorithm that they won't share with anyone else to come to shortage conclusions?:)
 
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:ROFLMAO:

:rof:

Do you see my name attached to that poll anywhere?

Or are you just used to having someone else tell you facts, so you expect they are the ones that made up those facts?

And were did I say $300 was a fact?????

.


yep, like i thought., you posted something with nothing more than your opinion, an alternate view was posted, you get defensive and deflect. sop.
 
In regard to appraiser stats, I would be interested in the number of appraisers that have simply bailed on Fannie/Freddie work, or currently will only accept very specific assignments where in the past they would accept anything that comes along.

That type of information isn't going to come from simply processing raw data coming in from Fannie/Freddie assignments. And that type of information is essential to having an informed discussion on the matter.
I had two CRs, 1 CR training 2b CG, and registered appraiser in early 2004. One retired, CR got CG and moved. Other CR started her own company, so I cut all secondary mkt out in 2004-05. We did in house and commercial only afterwards. RA retired in 2014 when her bread & butter bank sold and switched to low cost evaluations. I fired three banks in 15 and went non-lender work.
 
Yours was a good post.

When you dig a little deeper, I'd like to hear your opinion on the following:

Here is an excerpt from the posted documents:
42(f)(2) Presumption of Compliance
1. In general. A creditor and its agent are
presumed to comply with paragraph (f)(1) if
the creditor or its agent meets the conditions
specified in paragraph (f)(2) in determining
the compensation paid to a fee appraiser.
These conditions are not requirements for
compliance but, if met, create a presumption
that the creditor or its agent has complied
with § 1026.42(f)(1). A person may rebut this
presumption with evidence that the amount
of compensation paid to a fee appraiser was
not customary and reasonable for reasons
unrelated to the conditions in paragraph
(f)(2)(i) or (f)(2)(ii). If a creditor or its agent
does not meet one of the non-required
conditions set forth in paragraph (f)(2), the
creditor’s and its agent’s compliance with
paragraph (f)(1) is determined based on all of
the facts and circumstances without a
presumption of either compliance or
violation.​

Now, let me give you my breakdown:
1. In general. A creditor and its agent are
presumed to comply with paragraph (f)(1) if
the creditor or its agent meets the conditions
specified in paragraph (f)(2) in determining
the compensation paid to a fee appraiser.
These conditions are not requirements for
compliance but, if met, create a presumption
that the creditor or its agent has complied
with § 1026.42(f)(1).
Paragraph (f)(1) in the reference above outlines the requirement to pay independent fee appraisers C&R.
Paragraph (f)(2) is the presumption (#1) of compliance. There are two presumptions.
This paragraph reads (according to me) "A creditor is presumed to meet the C&R requirements if the creditor meets the conditions specified."
Those 'conditions' are a number of different requirements including competency, quality, etc, etc. They are outlined in Paragraph 42 (f)(2)(i)(A-F). These are the requirements for the 1st Presumption (the 2nd presumption is the VA fee or other 3rd party surveys). If you meet them, you are presumed to have complied.

Now, next the original excerpt says:
A person may rebut this
presumption with evidence that the amount
of compensation paid to a fee appraiser was
not customary and reasonable for reasons
unrelated to the conditions in paragraph
(f)(2)(i) or (f)(2)(ii).
A person (any person, I suppose) can rebut presumption for any reason unrelated to the cited conditions. So, I could rebut it by saying, "Hey, I don't care what you guys did under Presumption #1, it isn't VA fees or non-AMC fees, so I'm calling you on it; you are not paying C&R."
The ability to rebut Presumption #1 clearly exists, and a fair reading is one can rebut it for reasons unrelated to the compliance requirements of Presumption #1.

Here's the final part of the excerpt (my bold for emphasis):
If a creditor or its agent
does not meet one of the non-required
conditions set forth in paragraph (f)(2)
, the
creditor’s and its agent’s compliance with
paragraph (f)(1) is determined based on all of
the facts and circumstances without a
presumption of either compliance or
violation.

So, I can rebut Presumption #1 for any reason. But the regulation then says if the creditor does not meet one of the non-required* conditions set forth in paragraph (f)(2) [which is the requirements of Presumption #1] then compliance is determined based on all of the facts and circumstances without a presumption of either compliance or violation.
In other words, if rebutted but I've followed all the non-required conditions set forth in paragraph (f)(2), then I am in compliance. It is only when I don't meet those conditions that my case is "determined based on all of the facts and circumstances" and even then, I may be found to be in compliance.
One might ask, "if they are required to show compliance, why are they called 'non-required' in the regulation?"
It seems the answer is clear in the last bolded part of the excerpt above. Note that the second section says determination will be based on the specifics of the case. If the so-called non-required conditions were required, then one couldn't presume compliance or non-compliance; if required and not followed, the lender/AMC would be in non-compliance, period. That isn't what the regulation says. It allows for an individual case to be judged based on its circumstances even if all the 'non-required' conditions weren't followed.
An explanation of this seemingly illogicality may be this: Let's say the lender follows all but one of the non-required conditions in Presumption #1. But, by happenstance, it happens to pay the same rate as the VA schedule. The lender may have tried to claim it was following Presumption #1 but it didn't meet all the non-required conditions. But, by chance, its fees are the same as the VA. I think a complaint that they were not following Presumption #1 would be found to be moot since at the end of the day, wittingly or unwittingly, they were paying what is considered C&R under paragraph (f)(3).

One can rebut Presumption #1 all they want. But if a lender is in compliance with the 1st Presumption's non-required conditions, then compliance is no longer presumed to be in place but is determined to be in place.
Note that the excerpt above does not say, "Regardless if a creditor...does not meet one of the non-required conditions". It says "if a creditor...does not meet one of the non-required conditions."
That is a significant difference that determines if the lender (or its agent, the AMC) process can be evaluated outside of Presumption #1.

Indeed, this is how Louisiana found Coestar in violation of C&R. Coestar did not provide evidence of compliance with all the conditions set forth in paragraph (f)(2). Louisiana was right to charge them on Presumption #1 because they were in non-compliance.
Had Coestar been in compliance with Presumption #1, Louisiana's case would have (a) not been raised or (b) gone nowhere.


Anyway, that's my interpretation. As I said, I'd be interested to hear yours.

Ok, now I am ready.

I got hung up on your post above the first-time around because a) I needed to read the damn thing myself and b) because you said "seemingly illogical".

I read the law, including the supplement and did not think there was anything "seemingly illogical". I did find it a bit of a tough read that makes me glad I did not pursue a law degree.

I read the law to say (paraphrase):

a) lender/client is presumed to comply with C & R if noted conditions are met
b) an acknowledgement of presumption is not the same as an acknowledgement of compliance and for that reason, I believe it implies any fee can be challenged, and the Supplement to 226 goes on to drive that point.
c) That means if compliance ever came into question from a party other than a fee appraiser, lets say for instance an audit from a regulatory board, that board could determine the compliance to be presumed if conditions are met, and not presumed if conditions are not met. However, a lack of presumption does not default to a lack of compliance, rather returns the matter to an open question.
d) In the case a lender/client follows the stated Presumption of Compliance, they would be presumed compliant until a rebuttal is made, however the rebuttal, must be based on reasons unrelated to the conditions set forth - I take that to mean the appraiser has to come up with something else besides the topics covered
e) In the case the lender/client follows the stated Alternate Presumption of Compliance, they would be presumed compliant until a rebuttal is made, however the rebuttal must be based on evidence other than 3rd party data.
f) I think both cases present a tall order for the appraiser, as I think a presumption would be made if the lender/client follows and the appraiser would then have to come up with alternate evidence.

Right or wrong, ignorant or savant (LOL), I'm taking a break from this one. Too hard to go back through so many pages of thread and there are too many topics going on at once. Is there an appraiser shortage or is it a myth? I don't know any appraisers too busy anywhere. I think when I take a simple look at fees paid, a conclusion of a shortage is ridiculous. Appraisers are eating each other alive.
 
Is there an appraiser shortage or is it a myth? I don't know any appraisers too busy anywhere.

There are plenty of appraisers that are way too busy for their own good. Plenty of people are complaining about it all over social media. I personally put the brakes on some clients because I can't handle the workload.

Much has to do with diversification. If one strictly does one type of work (e.g., conventional loans), their workload tends to be very sensitive to changes in the market.
 
In regard to appraiser stats, I would be interested in the number of appraisers that have simply bailed on Fannie/Freddie work
Yes, because there is a big segment out there that has nothing to do with lending; I think many appraisers forget this - which leads into:
Much has to do with diversification. If one strictly does one type of work (e.g., conventional loans), their workload tends to be very sensitive to changes in the market.
And since I strictly do RES, a majority of my book right now is lending (purchase, REFI, etc) but thankfully I've been able to diversity somewhat (and planning to keep diversifying) to offset the ebb/flow of lender work
 
Ok, now I am ready.

I got hung up on your post above the first-time around because a) I needed to read the damn thing myself and b) because you said "seemingly illogical".

I read the law, including the supplement and did not think there was anything "seemingly illogical". I did find it a bit of a tough read that makes me glad I did not pursue a law degree.

The seemingly illogicality, which I think some are getting hung-up on is this (and I think you hit on it):
A. There is a presumption (two of them); the presumption is , that if you follow the list under #1 or #2, you are presumed to be paying C&R.
B. However, notwithstanding the list, a lender or its agent can be challenged for reasons not related to the list.
C. Once challenged, if the lender or its agent and show that it did follow all the items under #1 or #2, then they are presumed to be in compliance.
D. If they fail to follow all the requirements in #1 and #2, then they lose any presumption of compliance and get evaluated on condition-specific basis.

I see an illogicality between A & B: Why have the set of requirements to meet the presumption of compliance if they can be followed and yet get challenged for reasons other than those requirements?
One reason that made some sense to me was: If a lender happens to be paying the VA fee (but doesn't cite it as a presumption-compliance; it just happens by coincidence), gets challenged for not following Presumption #1, turns out they didn't follow all of the requirements under presumption #1, but in the end, since they are paying a VA fee it is C&R, then according to "D" (in my above outline) they'd be OK.

That seems a little torturous to me, but I can understand why that may be in a regulatory framework.
 
One of the main reasons I became an appraiser instead of an agent was because of the different opportunities I saw out there for appraisers.

Agents "sell" real estate (I realize there are also buyer's agents) So when people aren't selling their homes, that puts a limit on what agents can do.

I always saw (and even now see it) as appraisers, people "always want to know what their house is worth." Yes, a lot goes into all that (SOW, etc) but for estate purposes, tax purposes, "potential" sale purposes, CASH buyers purposes, etc ... I saw appraising as an open ceiling as far as potential clients vs real estate agent. Nothing against agents and I know PLENTY who make a ton more $$$ than I do and REALLY know their market, but from talking to them, it's limited to sales
 
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