Honest here. It only happens to me about 20% of the time and only about 5% of the time the borrower comes out and tells me what they need.I am speaking about refis and the magic 80% LTV cutoff. The data on that is quite clear. There is a spike at every LTV % that is meaningful. The data seems to strongly indicate that the “magic number” is being communicated in some manner - unless one believes it is all just a big coincidence
"The appraiser has no idea (on a refi appraisal) what LTV is needed for the loan to work..."That is an interesting phenomenon. I get the 'sales price bias' - which I COMPLETELY disagree with - at least as far as the article is concerned. IMO, the reason appraisals quite often come in at contract price is because the SOW (problem to be solved) is slightly different for a purchase than for a refi. I don't believe it is because appraisers are somehow 'pushed' into reconciling to the contract. As regards appraisals 'bunched' at the deciles, I just don't understand how that could be. The appraiser has no idea (on a refi appraisal) what LTV is needed for the loan to work...
And how does that tell you what LTV they want now? Or if they're doing a cash out? Or if they've paid a significant amount down and are moving to a 15 year? BTW - non-disclosure states like TX don't give sales price in public records - just lien amount.One simple click, and you can find out what the last purchase price was and the loan amount.
It doesn't in all cases. It also shows all past refi amounts also. I think some appraisers still do the math as D has implied. But to take up for appraisers, lenders still run AVMs and then run the numbers before they order the appraisal. So at first look, it may look like appraisers are just hitting the 80% magic number, but in reality if the LO did their job would it not make sense that the appraiser and the 80% need would be close? Similar to purchase appraisals for market value. If the home was exposed to the market with no funny business, the appraised value should be near, the same or close to the contract price. One could easily imply that 90% of appraisers just hit the contract price.....but real estates agent know we are there to keep them in-line and honest, something AVMs cannot do.And how does that tell you what LTV they want now? Or if they're doing a cash out? Or if they've paid a significant amount down and are moving to a 15 year? BTW - non-disclosure states like TX don't give sales price in public records - just lien amount.
I have never, ever had a "magic number communicated or hinted to me in a refi since the change post HVCC . I find it hard to believe any loan officer would risk communicating it now nor any legit appraiser ask if of an owner. 80% ltv idk, but prices have risen so people doing refinances now have more equity.I am speaking about refis and the magic 80% LTV cutoff. The data on that is quite clear. There is a spike at every LTV % that is meaningful. The data seems to strongly indicate that the “magic number” is being communicated in some manner - unless one believes it is all just a big coincidence
Another attempt at levity, I presume?I find it hard to believe any loan officer would risk communicating it
No, I assume most loan officers do not want to lose their jobs or license... I have not had a single one put it on an order or communicate it and besides, you of all people should know individual loan officers no longer order the appraisal - even with a direct lender it is all anonymous wrt to "who" ordered it, it comes over a portal with the lender/client name and perhaps a regional staff person or such .Another attempt at levity, I presume?
So I am guessing you missed the order that floated around social media last week - the one that communicated the needed value right on the appraisal request.I have never, ever had a "magic number communicated or hinted to me in a refi since the change post HVCC . I find it hard to believe any loan officer would risk communicating it now nor any legit appraiser ask if of an owner. 80% ltv idk, but prices have risen so people doing refinances now have more equity.