If I were driving a highway and in the rear view mirror was a line of accidents and wrecks going back 15 years, with hazardous warning signs posted about worsening conditions, I might head for the nearest exit and take a different road. Just saying.
Those of us in the tail end of the profession had no idea what was ahead after the regulations in 2010 went all wrong. Each time another regulation got corrupted or the stakeholder profiteering increased or yet another alternative product or influx of non-appraisers entered into the work, many assumed it would end there, and it did not.
The reality is the vast majority of work for a residential license is in mortgage lending, and most of that is GSE-related. If that were not true, then res licensed appraisers would have lots of options and the segment that caved to low AMC fees would not have had to do so to get orders.
Those urging res licenses to diversify practice are mainly those who hold a Cert GEn license ( or are. frankly, selling a pipe dream). There is a limited amount of non-mortgage work available with the specilized/high-end favoring an SRA or a commercial license (who of course, can do residential as well. )
There is some private and RE listing work to supplement, but not enough for a full-time income. Imo, there will remain a need for appraisers in the res mortgage end, but what that will look like or how well or poorly it will pay is unknown- but the pressure is for low fees and high speed, with some exceptions. The low fee/high speed will be AMC staff or panel churning out volume and then a smaller segment of appraisers who do high value /and or complex work or are fortunate enough to work for any lending clients that are left in the future who order direct.