swandel1
Sophomore Member
- Joined
- Dec 10, 2009
- Professional Status
- Certified Residential Appraiser
- State
- Connecticut
In AZ, business was very good Oct - now. East Coast works a bit different - I started in CT.
Rumor has it that many appraisers have retired as of 12/31/25 due to 3.6, leaving a total of 30k residential appraisers across the US.
You can look up the waiver usage, which traditionally hasn't been very high. A lot of the year end work is helocs, which are the biggest users of waivers. I expect the number of waivers to increase coming when 3.6 kicks in as no one will want to pay higher appraisal costs and wait the additional time for the reports to be completed. Assuming that the GSEs don't delay the roll-out of 3.6, we will all be busy soon.
I also opine that we are still seeing the residuals of the bad monetary policy of the previous gov't administration. That stagnant sales thing is still around - people not wanting to ditch the 3% mortgage for a 6%+ mortgage. The ones that are willing to ditch the low mortgage have already done so. Some talking heads are predicting up to 4 rate cuts Q1 + Q2 this year; which, if true, should help with work volume. They say 5% rate is the magic number.
Rumor has it that many appraisers have retired as of 12/31/25 due to 3.6, leaving a total of 30k residential appraisers across the US.
You can look up the waiver usage, which traditionally hasn't been very high. A lot of the year end work is helocs, which are the biggest users of waivers. I expect the number of waivers to increase coming when 3.6 kicks in as no one will want to pay higher appraisal costs and wait the additional time for the reports to be completed. Assuming that the GSEs don't delay the roll-out of 3.6, we will all be busy soon.
I also opine that we are still seeing the residuals of the bad monetary policy of the previous gov't administration. That stagnant sales thing is still around - people not wanting to ditch the 3% mortgage for a 6%+ mortgage. The ones that are willing to ditch the low mortgage have already done so. Some talking heads are predicting up to 4 rate cuts Q1 + Q2 this year; which, if true, should help with work volume. They say 5% rate is the magic number.
