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Blind Squirrel and Acorns

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There's several reality TV shows now on Discovery channel about gold and gem prospecting, they are fascinating.

The best imo is called "Game of Stones". Last night the prospectors were in Brazil staking out mines in rough back country. Very interesting.
 
Reasonable is easy, at least as viewed from a distance; accurate not so much. The OP obviously is dealing with reasonable. Checking accuracy would require so much local competency and work that he'd be better off just doing the appraisals himself, an unrealistic expectation.

Accurate is but a few more clicks on the scale. Still not tough, especially for the markets you and I both work(ed).
 
Ahhh....but it's those "few more clicks" that count.

A few tenths of a point , or a hundredth of a second separates those who medal in the Olympics, from those who don't.

Actually, the gap between accurate AND adequately supported, as opposed to merely a standard of "reasonable" can be quite a bit more time consuming, even in active markets .

Accurate belongs to the factual side of data and reporting, and adequately supported belongs to appraiser's judgments and conclusions, which include comp choice, market analysis, judgment of what data is relied on and what was is not seen as reliable, feedback from market participants, impact of inspection re condition and quality of subject itself, etc.
 
That's the rub. You got folks in central offices looking at appraisals from all over the place trying to figure out what's good and what's BS. Don't like it? Get a review! Ok so now is the review any better? F it lets out source to an AMC. Ok so now is this AMC's reviewer's any more knowledgeable than the bank's guy? Instead of 1,000 miles aways he's 500 miles? None of these people can do more than cursory reviews as they aren't locally competent to do anything else. The system sucks but you have to work within it so what do you do? Step one is to fact check everything you can. Errors of fact are a giant red flag. You report R-1 Residential for zoning and the municipality has no such classification you are hereby removed. Screw up the easy stuff and I have no faith on the difficult.
Having read the Cookie Man all these years I have some sense of the wry and lucid style of his replies. I think Scotty sums up a whole lot of the issues in this business. And my take away, misreading him or not, is this:

A - An apparently reasonable value can be assigned with a minimum of information.
B - The trigger for a review is usually a factual error, not a value
C - The (administrative) review can spot the factual errors but is uncertain as to the value errors
D - The (technical) reviewer, picked by the same system as the appraiser, is likely to conclude the same thing for a lack of actual local knowledge. Thus, the review is oft meaningless
E - Eliminate the obvious flawed appraiser who makes basic factual mistakes (zoning, etc.) and use only those who, at least, are factually accurate.
F - Doing this winnows the crowd down to basically a local experienced and conscientious appraiser.

My final conclusion is that the value - seemingly the gist of the whole appraisal - is rarely as "accurate" as we think. The range of value is often much wider than we normally admit or accept. Therein lies the rub. On some properties a dart board has the same accuracy.
 
IMO if you really think "accurate" is a good term to use in relation to value opinions then you have no business performing reviews.
 
The term "accurate" used to really bug me, because, how can a value opinion be "accurate"? (since there is no benchmark to compare it to)

As stated written on the URAR form: "The purpose of this appraisal report is to provide ....an Accurate AND adequately supported opinion of the market value of the subject property."

If one applies "accuracy " to reporting/ facts, and applies "adequately supported", to the appraiser's value opinion, judgments and conclusions ,....then it makes sense ( at least to me)..in that the value opinion should be adequately supported by accurate reporting of facts

( as opposed to a value opinion that may seem reasonable, but is poorly supported because the facts are not correct, or not reported correctly, or the data is misleadingly presented etc)
 
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Here I was thinking that poetic license applied to those GSE words and that I was not bound by a word's strict definition. Too bad we do not have something like the Federalist Papers, to understand how the words used in the appraisal form were arrived at, with the discussion surrounding the authors' eventual adoption of "accurate" as a worthy goal to be achieved by the "correct" appraisal procedures.
 
Yeah "accurate" bugs me too but like I said, if you want to work with the system you have...

Plenty of people who do have business doing reviews are stuck in this system.
 

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Speaking of poetic license...post any paragraph from USPAP and I'll put it to rap verse! ( fun in a weird way)
 
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