What could go wrong?
Okay, so there are some brokers doing BPOs on commercial real estate. What could go wrong?
I have a number of friends and associates who are CCIMs, and they are smart and understand the differences between fee, leased fee and leasehold. But not all commercial brokers have broad experience and, combined with the natural narcissism of that trade, there could be some opinions that are way off base. OK; there will almost certainly be some, maybe a lot!
Used to teach cap courses for the Institute. Had brokers enrolled. In their own businesses, some would price based on proforma; market rent, market v&cl, market opex, then stablized NOI. Hit with market cap rate: Wallah! Market value...
Sounds (gulp) reasonable. But sometimes, unexplainedly, they would artibitrarily mix in actual income, or actual vacancy, or actual expenses, or actual opex and try to cap that. I tried to explain repeatedly this would be some kind of "hybrid" value definition, neither leased fee or fee.
Same deal with "comps". If comps are leased at or very near market rates, these sales may be leased fee but the spread to fee would probably be relatively insignificant. The unit indicators might be reasonable projected for the subject. But below the visible, like the iceburg below the waterline, there may be all sorts of physical and financial factors which need to be understood before attempting to project the sale onto a subject property.
Most, seriously, I mean most, of the broker's prospectuses I have seen do a reasonable job of analyzing the actual circumstances of a property for sale and reporting them, though some paint a little prettier picture than if there were no commission involved. But the time and effort put into analyzing a property for sale is many times multiple that likely for such a BPO. Frankly, I fear some brokers won't put much effort into their BPOs. And, due to our CPA driven penny-wise pound-foolish system, the lowered price BPO artists will likely get the lions' share of business.
As usual, it is the client's and/or regulatory ignorance that leads to this possible tilting at windmills. Perhaps there is an underlying agenda to do things on the cheap, but I would prefer to think the clients and regulators just don't get it and we can educate.
Is this a one-man parade?
Mark Galleshaw