No one is "dart boarding it", JG. The reality is that the same property - your subject, is just as probable to sell for another price given another buyer and seller, for no other reason but value differences between people. The market is not precise point. It's not a grocery store that sells all like items at the same price. There is at least a 5% variance on that same property from Joe to Mike to Jane to Henry that is equally as probable to sell.
Look at the Q7 above. FNMA says that you should consider any changes to the sales contract and their effect on value. Hmmmm.... Even THEY believe it can have an impact on value!!!
"The purpose of this summary appraisal report is to provide the lender/client with an accurate, and adequately supported, opinion of the market value of the subject property."
The above, or similar verbiage is stated of purpose of appraisal on report. The below statement is not the stated purpose of appraisal.
"The purpose of this summary appraisal report is to provide the lender/client with an accurate and adequately supported predictive price guess of what an actual buyer and seller would pay in market for the subject property."
There is at least a 5% variance on that same property from Joe to Mike to Jane to Henry that is equally as probable to sell.
True. However we are not hired guess a price within a 5% variance of what Joe or Mike or Jane or Harry might pay. We are engaged to create an appraisal containing within it a presumed sale as of an effective date of a transaction between the typically motivated buyer/seller per the terms in the MV definition. From this presumed sale (supported by other SOW development such as cost approach) we provide our opinion of market value (expressed as point value numerical $ amount)