Definitely arc fault. A gfi won't typically trip due to a small arc. They measure the difference in potential between the hot and neutral and trip if there is a very small difference. I used to see nuisance tripping due to a steamy shower. The steam would condense on the face of the receptacle and the current would track just a little across the face of the receptacle and trip the gfi. If I remember correctly, arc fault breakers were developed because very minor arcs would ignite lint, dust, cobwebs that could build up inside of the outlet boxes, or even items outside of the box due to a loose plug in