Appraisers do not make markets or values at best they are lenders referees whose only need is too make sure the property is there and standing and arrive at a value near or what they want and need. its always been that way so they kept adding more and more Overlays to keep us busy and make us feel like we are really accomplishing something. Those 44-Page-Paper Weights make auditors feel very safe and secure. Now as the cost has gotten too high they realzie its time to pull the shades back and just let appraisers drive bye and be done. The Covid-19 Profiteers started taking advantage of people when they were down and those $1,000 Plus URAR will come back down to earth now that between Waivers and Desk-tops move into the forefront in 2022. My guess is by end of first Quarter 2022-in CALI Refinance and Purchase Volumes will have dropped of substantially and we have thousands of appraisers who will under cut the ones who currently got used to big fees.I would love to see how the appraisal industry truly affected the real estate market if it was actually independent like it is intended. Without the injection of inflated comparable sales caused by appraisal (property inspection) waivers, AVMs or appraisers hitting the bullseye due to lender pressure and the fear of losing future work. The appraisal industry is continuously being manipulated by the lending industry and then everyone says appraisals are worthless. Maybe if both industries’ existing regulations were actually enforced as opposed to constantly creating new unenforced regulations then we could see what a real market looks like and what affect appraisals would actually have on it.
Ultimately the Bond market controls interest rates but the Federal Reserve has been buying our own bonds which has held rates artificially down. At some juncture the Bond Vigilantes will no longer purchase them at these low rates and rates will go up.I don’t think Biden can control interest rates. No way. They will rise.
Income levels is only thing stopping interest rates from rising now. They may drop to 1%.