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GSE Waiver & Data Collection Data

No we don't and never have.
Great, I'm shocked how many clients they have considering they can get their appraisals accepted by FNMA. Maybe the reputation as a rubber stamper is enough to get them business for non FNMA loans. A pleasant surprise having FNMA make a stand against at least one disreputable AMC.
 
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This is akin to "tuning the dial" used by health insurance companies to deny coverage when bonuses and bumps in stock prices are desired. Results of these actions can be analyzed and fine-tuned so that during the next pandemic, or a non-market induced drop in mortgage rates, or during the next phase of governmental social engineering, the dial can be turned to whatever level in order to maintain market share. Based on "need", model confidence thresholds will be intentionally loosened, layers of logic will be removed or restrained, and more so...
Yep, when the market heats up all of a sudden that 20% waivers could go to 50%+
 
Correct are 20% of loans having a recent refi, with a recent appraisal with 50% LTV and a solid borrower? I question that as well.
And I didn't mention, in the case of a gold credit/50% LTV/recent appraisal on file unicorn, when I was on the banking side we still didn't throw caution to the wind. Yes, in the case of non-complex collateral we opted for something less than a full report but didn't "waive" due diligence and safe and sound practice. Whether it was an evaluation backed by a boots on the ground bank employee inspection or a drive-by from a licensed appraiser, good safe and sound practice requires verifying the collateral still exists and is something the bank would want as collateral.
 
good safe and sound practice still requires verifying the collateral still exists
Reminds of years ago when a mortgage company sent me to do a drive-by of an REO manufactured home in a small development in E. Oklahoma. I arrived to find a power pole, some concrete blocks used for foundation, and some wooden front steps and the lawn was grown up 2' tall... clearly the MH hadn't been there in months. The lot? Worth about $2,000.
 
Reminds of years ago when a mortgage company sent me to do a drive-by of an REO manufactured home in a small development in E. Oklahoma. I arrived to find a power pole, some concrete blocks used for foundation, and some wooden front steps and the lawn was grown up 2' tall... clearly the MH hadn't been there in months. The lot? Worth about $2,000.
Well, it ain't without risk despite what the GSEs are pushing.

I'll match your story with two.

A warehouse, good borrower and very low LTV. Exterior view with eval. The bank didn't know the borrower had some troubles coming up, the loan defaults almost immediately and the warehouse is foreclosed on. Turns out every square inch of the warehouse is stuffed with used tires. While the bank is hoping the problem goes away someone with a grudge drops a dime and the DEQ orders a cleanup. $100,000 later and a cleanup that required armed deputies to protect workers from snakes and vermin, a lesson was learned. Then there was the vacant land taken as collateral in an in globo/abundance of caution situation, after default confederate soldier headstones were discovered. Oh the drama with that one.
 
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You think a 50% LTV loan, solid borrower, refinance transaction where we have a recent prior appraisal, robust market data, etc. needs a full appraisal?

We've had waivers 20+ years. They are not new.
Sure, why not? The appraisal will make sure the borrower did not over-borrow wrt the value or that the house does not need repairs since the last appraisal or have other changes in it since then.

If the borrower wants the refi loan, they will do what it takes to get one and that can be an appraisal.
 
And "50% LTV loan, solid borrower, refinance transaction where we have a recent prior appraisal, robust market data, etc." is common or the norm in waiver world? I don't believe that for a second. I'll guess the % of "abundance of caution" loans is closer to zero than you will ever admit.
You didn't answer the question. Do we need a full appraisal on that loan? If so, why?

Glad you qualified your last sentence with a "guess" and not a statement of fact, because it is wrong. If you would have read the link you posted today, you would have seen that a substantial % of waiver acquisitions fall in the <60% LTV bucket. That is a statement of fact.
 
Do we need a full appraisal on that loan? If so, why?
Because you don't know if the building is even there, perhaps? Or remember in 2008 when by 2010 properties were often sold for well under half what was lent against them? Or, like one REO I valued, the entire house was filled with trash bags, a storage shed was full of trash bags, many broken, and even an abandoned truck there was filled both the bed and cab with trash bags. Sometimes it helps to have eyes on the prize. In the old days when people dealt with real banks and real bankers regulated by the FDIC or OCC, and not mortgage originators or online lenders, bankers themselves often visited their borrowers and looked for themselves. That was especially true of rent properties, farms and commercial. Bankers often spent an afternoon each week just checking on the loans they had, performing or not.
 
I don't think big banks are that involved with GSEs anymore for home loans. Last I heard big banks share of gse loan originations was like 10%. It mostly nonbanks that sell to gse.
Correct but the them being the Federal Reserve Banks control much of the policy and law making on who plays in the game and they only made less mortgage loans in recent years because there was more money in making adjustable heloc type loans with no interest rate risk.

Once the GSEs are shrunk or eliminated the profits and interest rate risks may be lowered by selling to wall street rather than Fannie and Freddie.

The entire mortgage model is going to be changing we just don't yet know how it's going to be done. We do know wall street and major money managers like Black Rock who is the Federal Govts and largest pension fund managing giant are part of the advisors on how to unwind the GSEs and create a new model.

We as pawns have to sift through a dark room as the transformation is like a covert operation and few know how and when. Even top brass at the GSEs are typically not in the car as they say in prison lingo.

Like you and me most of their management will just wake up to a E mail one Friday night saying thank you for your service come monday to clean out your desks.
 
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