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Housing Bubble Bursting?

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Ty, I noticed that your stated occupation is to "Proclaim the Gospel", so I figure you might make a good USPAP certified instructor, if you chose to enter the appraisal profession.

It might be a bit frustrating unless you remain flexible in your thinking, since they revise their bible quite often:)

May I inquire as to the state you are located? I am curious if it has any influence on your views on the alleged bubble burst. Some parts of CA and FL probably are getting converted:shrug:
 
As housing bubble collapses
I like the way Ty keeps posting about the bubble. Randolph admonished me that there isn't one and everyone knows it.
 
Steven Santora said:
I like the way Ty keeps posting about the bubble. Randolph admonished me that there isn't one and everyone knows it.
Yes Steven, everyone knows that it depends on one's definition of a bubble. So until you define a bubble for others to know what you are talking about, there is no bubble for you (or for me).

Articles posted here with bubble in them sort of describes what they refer to as a bubble. But, if there is no reduction in pricing of homes over time, was there a bubble? Even if there was, did the bubble burst?

Ty can post what he likes, just as you can.

Bubble, bubble, toil and trouble ...:flowers:
 
The National Bubble Bursting *Ripples* across the United States of America.

rogerwatland said:
I figure you might make a good USPAP certified instructor, if you chose to enter the appraisal profession.
May I inquire as to the state you are located?

Greetings & Salutations from California Mr. Kinney, Mr. Watland & Mr. Santora:
I come in peace my friends.

I looked at the following URL regarding certified instructors. I don't believe it is my calling. But thank you Mr. Watland for your thoughtful consideration.

2006 USPAP & The Real Property Appraisal Process
http://www.appraisalfoundation.org/s_appraisal/bin.asp?CID=22&DID=869&DOC=FILE.PDF

The 10 Fastest-Falling Real Estate Markets - Forbes / October 22, 2006
http://realestate.msn.com/Buying/Article_forbes.aspx?cp-documentid=1071729&GT1=8698
 
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I looked at the following URL regarding certified instructors. I don't believe it is my calling.

Same here:)
 
Ty Yu said:
Greetings & Salutations from California Mr. Kinney, Mr. Watland & Mr. Santora:
I come in peace my friends.
Same here. I especially enjoy the reading from all the postings.:flowers:
 
Duh!

Steven Santora said:
I like the way Ty keeps posting about the bubble. Randolph admonished me that there isn't one and everyone knows it.
Of course there is not a bubble, it popped. :new_smile-l:

Now it is just a question of how far down the market will go and how long it will take to get back up to last years levels. :new_smile-l:

Anyone checked stock prices lately? :new_all_coholic: (All that money made in real estate had to be put somewhere.)
 
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Lenders Loosening Credit Standards In The Face Of Increasing Defaults

http://www.realestatejournal.com/buysell/mortgages/20061020-simon.html?rejpartner=mktw

Lenders Loosen Standards Even as More Loans Go Sour


By Ruth Simon
From The Wall Street Journal Online

Mortgage lenders are making it easier to get loans even as the housing market cools -- and as the number of borrowers struggling to make their payments continues to rise, new studies show.

The increase is particularly notable because bad loans normally climb when the economy weakens and job losses rise, leaving more borrowers unable to make their monthly payments. By contrast, the latest increase appears to be more closely tied to looser lending standards, borrowers tapping their equity and slowing home-price growth.

"We're seeing rises in delinquencies and loan losses that are unrelated to what's going on in the job market," says Mark Zandi, chief economist of Moody's Economy.com. "It's very unusual."

Some 2.33% of mortgages were delinquent at the end of the third quarter, the highest level since 2003, according to Equifax and Moody's Economy.com. Among the areas that saw the biggest jump in the delinquency rate since the end of last year were Stockton and Merced, Calif., and Las Vegas-Paradise, Nev. Delinquency rates were highest in McAllen-Edinburg-Mission, Texas; Brownsville-Harlingen, Texas; and Detroit-Livonia-Dearborn, Mich.

A separate report released yesterday by the federal Office of the Comptroller of the Currency found that lenders continued to ease credit standards over the past year.

The latest news comes amid increasing concerns that lenders have been loosening their standards in an effort to boost loan volume as refinancings and home purchases wane. In a speech to the American Bankers Association this week, Comptroller of the Currency John Dugan noted that bank regulators have seen a "significant easing" of mortgage lending standards this year, even though banks normally tighten standards when the housing market cools. "We don't want to see the lending decisions bankers make today result in excessive foreclosures -- and reduced affordable housing credit -- tomorrow," he said.

The Comptroller's report found that competitive pressures are driving many banks to further loosen their credit standards. More than one-third of the lenders relaxed their standards for home-equity loans in the 12 months ended this March, according to bank examiners, while less than 5% tightened their standards.

Over the same period, 26% eased their mortgage-lending standards, most often by increasing the use of nontraditional mortgage products. These include loans that allow borrowers to pay interest and no principal in the early years or make a minimum payment that can lead to a rising loan balance. Yesterday, regulators released a booklet designed to help consumers understand these exotic mortgage products.

"We have reason to believe that the amount of easing we saw back in March is continuing," says Kathryn Dick, deputy comptroller for credit and market risk at the OCC. Federal bank regulators have been stepping up their scrutiny of residential mortgage lending by large banks, she says, with a particular focus on banks that lend heavily in cooling housing markets.

Agencies that counsel homeowners with mortgage problems say that many borrowers are running into problems because of the terms of their loans, not their personal circumstances. "It's mostly people with adjustables" who are having trouble paying their loans, says Pam Canada, executive director of the NeighborWorks HomeOwnership Center in Sacramento, Calif.

David M. Crosby, a Las Vegas bankruptcy attorney, says he has seen a "surge" in borrowers with mortgage problems. "Most of it is [tied to] the end of the housing boom, but I do see a good percentage of clients who got caught by a change in their mortgage rates." In addition, some clients "bought a number of speculative homes," he says. "The market turned on them, and now they are in a real financial mess."

Some homeowners are calling it quits. "A surprising number of people are walking away from their homes rather than trying to save them," says Mr. Crosby, either because the rate on their loan has jumped or because they owe more than the home is worth.
 
Freddie Mac CEO sees bumpy landing for housing

Freddie Mac CEO sees bumpy landing for housing


The rise of risky mortgages is more a problem for individual homeowners than the overall mortgage market, though some lenders will likely get pinched, Dick Syron, chairman of Freddie Mac, tells MarketWatch's Andrea Coombes. He sees a rough landing for the housing market. See Video Report.
 
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