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Housing Bubble Bursting?

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Realtor suffering from ARM reset - how many like this?

http://www.marketwatch.com/News/Story/Story.aspx?guid=%7B874C02B8%2DAA3C%2D4288%2DA98C%2D795E53166215%7D&siteid=mktw&dist=nwhreal

Q: Considering that many unconscionable lenders have placed unsophisticated and trusting folks into crummy and risky loans -- often at higher rates than necessary -- and most likely put themselves in fat city in the process, I was wondering if you have heard of any banks or financial institutions that are in the process of creating new mortgage products that will "rescue" any of these borrowers?


I am a California Realtor who has been licensed since 1994 and even I am in a crunch with an option ARM loan I took out in 2004. I consider myself well educated, but I am looking at a reduced income stream this year as the market softens, and at the same time I am suffering the payment-rate creep due to the adjustable interest-rate feature in my loan.


I have a relatively high credit score and do not consider myself subprime material, but realize that due to the current tightening credit and rising rates, I may not be able to get out of this loan to something more comfortable as switching to a fixed rate loan will raise my payment beyond what I can afford.


Watching the news lately I began to think that if I am in this quandary, even with good credit, then I imagine there are many others like me out there too. Without the Fed lowering rates, the only other solution to my pain (and others as well) that I can foresee is if a new mortgage product is created -- perhaps something like a "pick-your-payment loan" with a fixed rate and an adjustable term.


I at least consider myself fortunate to have more than 50% equity in my home. But since values seem to falling, I don't know how long that will last if I continue to defer the interest and some of the principle when some months I must elect to only make the minimum payment? Cid Young

A: I haven't heard of anything yet from the rocket scientists who create these crazy mortgages. But you never know what's on the drawing boards until new products are announced.


Until then, let me suggest that you give your current lender a call, tell the company of your situation and see what products it has available that might ease the pinch. Many lenders are willing to work with borrowers who find themselves in a situation like yours, especially if you are a good customer who has been paying on time or has other loans, credit cards or another kind of relationship with the firm. They want to keep people like that on their books, so they will work extra hard to keep you happy.


Absent that, hang in there. Maybe some lender will come to your rescue with the kind of loan you are talking about.


Nationally syndicated columnist Lew Sichelman has been covering the housing market for 35 years.
 
And as far as I know, Randolph, you're the only one who has brought up this very important and disturbing fact.

You would do a real service to expose it in detail.

Thanks.
Tawfik, every month around the 25th, NAR publishes its data for existing home sales in a spread sheet that you can download from their web site at:

http://www.realtor.org/Research.nsf/files/EHSreport.XLS/$FILE/EHSreport.XLS

In the past, I have saved the August 2006 report, the January 2007 report and now the February 2007 report.

These reports can be used to see the data changes by doing a line item comparison with each other.

If you are interested, I can email them to you. PM me.
 
Countrywide Financial, IndyMac sued for fraud damages: New York Times

http://www.marketwatch.com/news/story/countrywide-financial-indymac-sued-fraud/story.aspx?guid=%7BA551CD83%2D04BD%2D43BB%2DA4A4%2D1294855D8D8E%7D&dist=TQP_Mod_mktwN

NEW YORK (MarketWatch) -- Countrywide Financial Corp., IndyMac Bancorp Inc., and 23 other defendants were sued by homeowners asking for $100 million in mortgage-fraud damages and a halt in debt collection and foreclosures, The New York Times reported in its Friday editions.
 
Countrywide Foreclosures (REO) Blog

http://countrywide-foreclosures.blogspot.com/

Greg, thanks for that link in your post and that article contains the above link. Below are graphic data from COUNTRYWIDE-FORECLOSURES.
1_CFC.GIF

chart_All.gif

Foreclosures at Countrywide Financial (CFC) are on the rise. A financial blog covering CFC's foreclosures show a startling trend as shown in the graph above. The value of these 6,627 homes in inventory, and puts $1.217 billion into CFC's "Other Real Estate Owned" category on their balance sheet. CFC has lost the mortgage servicing revenue from these failed mortgage loans, and now faces property taxes and insurance costs. There is no reason to believe that this accelerating problem is going to end anytime soon. This is a nationwide issue as the foreclosures total: 962 in California, 931 in Michigan, 526 in Texas, 472 in Georgia and 423 in Ohio.


What is interesting about this site, click on the state and it has the individual homes listed in each state that are part of this inventory.

Dee Dee, your link to insider trading showing the massive stock sales for Countrywide goes along with the trouble in rising REO.
 
Is there any sane person out there who thinks the stock price of sub prime lenders has no other way to go but downward with that much liabilities and problems that they have made for themselves? I would like to know what is happening to prime lenders if there was any who did only prime loans.
 
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Is there any sane person out there who thinks the stock price of sub prime lenders has no other way to go but downward with that much liabilities and problems that they have made for themselves?

Moh-

Prices could go up if short-sellers miscalculated; then you'll have a a run-up (a short-one, no pun intended:new_smile-l: ). But I understand your statement to be one of "value", and I agree.

I would say this: There is probably some speculative value in these stocks if one of the Wall Street firms decides to buy them up. If I were a speculator, I'd probably put my money on Option One- but I'm not a speculator.
I limit my speculations to the craps table.
 
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