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Housing Bubble Bursting?

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Here comes the drum beat to bail out subprime

Democrats press for more aid to mortgage borrowers

WASHINGTON (MarketWatch) -- Top Senate and House Democrats pressed for more aid to subprime-mortgage borrowers on Wednesday, saying more funding is needed to prevent foreclosures and urging that caps on the portfolios of mortgage-buyers Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac be lifted and other steps taken.
I wonder if this issue will take over the election campaign issues as more important that the Iraq war?
 
Housing bubble has busted and it is getting uglier by the day!
 
Home-Price Outlook Takes Another Shot

http://online.wsj.com/article/SB119146645724948646.html?mod=todays_us_personal_journal
The outlook for house prices is getting even gloomier as traders on the Chicago Mercantile Exchange bet on steep price declines and the number of homes for sale grows.

Traders on the CME expect home prices in 10 major cities to drop an average of about 10% from mid-2007 to November 2011, according to an analysis by Tradition Financial Services Inc., New York, of prices for housing futures traded on the exchange

The current contract prices show that traders expect prices in the Miami metro area in November 2011 to be down 28% from the mid-2007 level. (The indexes cover metro areas as defined by the U.S. Census Bureau.) The expected drops in other metro areas for the same period are 18% for Las Vegas, 12% for New York, 19% for San Diego, 26% for San Francisco and 13% for Washington, D.C.
 
Jumbo Subprime Home Loans More Likely to Default, UBS Says

http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601009&sid=ay2qNCxO6FlY&refer=bond
About 17 percent of subprime-mortgage balances in bonds are too large for borrowers to refinance into loans from Fannie Mae or Freddie Mac, making them more likely to default, UBS AG analysts said.

The loans exceed the $417,000 limit for what government- chartered Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, the two largest U.S. mortgage-finance companies, can buy, the New York-based UBS analysts wrote in a report yesterday. That also makes the loans ineligible to be insured by the Federal Housing Administration.

Subprime borrowers with jumbo mortgages ``will probably have a more difficult time in the coming months than borrowers who can take advantage of'' refinancing opportunities through government- linked entities, the UBS analysts led by Laurie Goodman wrote.

Borrowers are having difficulty refinancing or selling their homes at favorable terms as lenders have tightened standards and U.S. home prices have dropped.

The record levels of early defaults on subprime mortgages may increase because rates on some loans are set to rise as the initial teaser-rate periods end. Interest rates on adjustable-rate loans typically rise 3 percentage points after a fixed two- or three-year period, and can continue rising every six months.
 
Mortgage lenders in subprime ‘traffic jam’

http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/b7b4d912-71d5-11dc-8960-0000779fd2ac.html
US mortgage companies are being overwhelmed by the large numbers of homebuyers who need to renegotiate their loans to avoid default, creating a “subprime traffic jam” that could frustrate efforts by regulators to prevent foreclosures, experts say.

Mortgage servicers, the operations that collect loans, say they are having trouble making profits because of record levels of late payments and delinquencies. Litton Loan Servicing estimates that costs have increased 20 per cent in the last year for mortgage servicers, who even in good times depend on razor-thin profit margins.
 
Giving borrowers a break

http://www.latimes.com/business/la-fi-workouts4oct04,0,4830171.story?coll=la-home-center
According to Secretary of Housing and Urban Development Alphonso Jackson, 500,000 borrowers with sub-prime loans -- higher-cost mortgages for people with weak credit or heavy debt loads -- could lose their homes in the next 18 months because interest rates will be resetting at higher levels.

Jackson and Treasury Secretary Henry M. Paulson Jr. met with major lenders last month and said they wanted to identify troubled borrowers and get them in touch with cost-free counselors from nonprofits such as NeighborWorks, ACORN and the Homeownership Preservation Foundation. They encouraged the lenders to refinance loans or modify current mortgages.

Lenders say they try to prevent foreclosures because seizing and selling a home typically costs them $30,000 to $50,000. Foreclosure sales also depress the value of nearby homes. And a Chicago study backed by the Homeownership Preservation Foundation found that costs to local governments exceeded $30,000 per foreclosure in some cases, owing to the loss of tax revenue, increased policing and higher demand for social services.

The Mortgage Bankers Assn. said there were no official statistics on workouts at individual lenders or industrywide. But Moody's Investors Service said it surveyed 16 firms handling customer service on 80% of existing sub-prime loans. Just 1% of the surveyed borrowers facing an interest rate reset had had their loans modified, the study found.

Many large servicers relied on "passive letter-based contact" to reach customers facing loan adjustments, Moody's said, instead of phone calls and other more thorough attempts to assess potential problems. Nonprofit groups say many troubled borrowers shrink from their growing debt problems and often throw such letters away unopened.
 
WAMU loan loss and charge offs - Another FED rate cut?

Washington Mutual warns earnings will drop 75%

SAN FRANCISCO (MarketWatch) -- With another key home lender sounding alarms about deteriorating conditions in mortgage markets, analysts say the role of Federal Reserve policymakers figures to take even more prominence in coming months.

WaMu now says its quarterly loan-loss provision will be some $975 million, exceeding net charge-offs for the quarter by about $550 million.

The lender has about $110 billion in first-mortgage home loans and nearly $60 billion in second-mortgage home equity loans, according to Cannon. He estimates up to $19 billion of that amount is tied into subprime mortgages.
 
Subprime & CDO bites Merrill Lynch - just a few $ BILLION

Merrill has write-down stuff

NEW YORK (MarketWatch) -- Merrill Lynch & Co. became the latest and biggest casualty of the credit crisis Friday, warning that it will write down nearly $5.5 billion and report a loss when it announces third-quarter financial results.

Most of the write-down, $4.5 billion, comes as the firm marks to market the value of collateralized debt obligations, or CDOs, and subprime mortgages.
 
Home builders face insolvency, sell homes at any price

Homebuilders Liquidate Assets as Threat to Survival Spurs Sales

D.R. Horton, with annual revenue of about $11 billion, and Hovnanian Enterprises Inc. now face the worst choice in the worst residential real estate slump since the 1930s. They're selling homes at any price they can get.

D.R. Horton of Fort Worth, Texas, overcame qualms about its image with the Sept. 29 auction of 56 unsold San Diego condominiums.

``I ran the numbers and the condos sold for between 68 cents and 74 cents on the dollar based on the original asking prices,'' Moran said.

A condo with an enclosed balcony and an indoor parking spot was originally listed at $349,800 and sold for $220,000, Moran said. D.R. Horton also threw in a washer-dryer and $2,500 toward closing costs, Moran said.

``Adding a credit toward closing costs still allows them to show the highest selling price they can,'' Moran said.

 
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