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Housing Bubble Bursting?

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This is an example why I believe things are much worse than is being reported. This morning I was reading the foreclosure sale ads in the morning paper. The 1st one listed was in a very affluent area of uptown. The add said the principle amount was $225,000. I looked up the sale history and it sold in 2005 for a price of $188,500. How do you get a loan for $37,500 more than the purchase price in a declining market?
 
FED rate low enough to stop exploding ARMs?

Foreclosures in U.S. Doubled in Third Quarter as Adjustable Rates Rose

Nov. 1 (Bloomberg) -- U.S. home foreclosures doubled in the third quarter from a year earlier as subprime borrowers failed to make higher payments on adjustable-rate mortgages, RealtyTrac Inc. said.

There were 635,159 foreclosure filings in the quarter, or one for every 196 households, including default notices, auction notices and bank repossessions, RealtyTrac said today in a statement. Nevada, California and Florida had the top foreclosure rates, the research company said.

``Given the number of loans due to reset through the middle of 2008 and the continuing weakness in home sales, we would expect foreclosure activity to remain high and even increase over the next year in many markets,'' Chief Executive Officer James Saccacio said in the statement.

Foreclosure filings in the third quarter increased 30 percent from the previous three months.

Interest rates will rise this month for borrowers holding $46.7 billion of U.S. mortgages, according to data compiled by Credit Suisse Group in New York. Subprime borrowers, who have poor or incomplete credit histories, account for $28.5 billion of those mortgages, Credit Suisse said.
 
California real estate set for a 35% decline - who can buy?

Weekend Edition: Scarcity, cost of jumbo mortgages portend big home-price drops

California prices could plunge 35%, costing $2.6 trillion in lost wealth

WASHINGTON (MarketWatch) -- Home buyers with the very best credit are still having a difficult time getting mortgages in California, raising concerns that the real estate market in the nation's most populous state could fall much further, sending home values spiraling lower and toppling the state's economy into recession.

The drop in home values could cost the typical homeowner as much as $200,000 in lost wealth, for a total hit of $2.6 trillion statewide.

"We could see rapid price declines," said Dean Baker, an economist with the Center for Economic and Policy Research, who's been warning about the housing bubble for years. "These are huge numbers," he said. "Consumption will fall off."

According to preliminary data from DataQuick Information Systems, the number of jumbo loans written between mid-September and mid-October fell by 43% in four major California counties that relied heavily on jumbo mortgages. And that was after statewide home sales fell by nearly 27% in September compared with August.

If jumbo mortgages are unavailable, most homes in California would simply become unaffordable for a typical buyer.
 
This is an example why I believe things are much worse than is being reported. This morning I was reading the foreclosure sale ads in the morning paper. The 1st one listed was in a very affluent area of uptown. The add said the principle amount was $225,000. I looked up the sale history and it sold in 2005 for a price of $188,500. How do you get a loan for $37,500 more than the purchase price in a declining market?

I'm not a foreclosure specialist by any stretch, but I believe the redemption amount includes interest in arrears, attorneys fees, etc. Any bottom feeders out there care to correct me on that one?:rof:
 
I'm not a foreclosure specialist by any stretch, but I believe the redemption amount includes interest in arrears, attorneys fees, etc. Any bottom feeders out there care to correct me on that one?:rof:

It been a long time since I've been on the bank side of the REO biz but that does not sound unlikely.
 
The add said the principle amount was $225,000. I looked up the sale history and it sold in 2005 for a price of $188,500. How do you get a loan for $37,500 more than the purchase price in a declining market?


Yup... 1st payment default would do it. :fiddle:
 
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