moh malekpour
Elite Member
- Joined
- May 25, 2002
- Professional Status
- Certified Residential Appraiser
- State
- California
The big problem is going to occur when the dollar weakens to the point of having inflation and recession at the same time.:new_all_coholic:The dramatic collapse of the U.S. dollar, and the Fed's failure to respond, provides fresh evidence of American economic weakness. If the Fed believed that the economy was as strong as government statistics suggest, it would have the flexibility to reverse the dollar's decline. The only reason for their inaction is that the Fed is willing to accept higher inflation and a weaker dollar to contain the recessionary forces clearly building on Main Street.
That is the forecast; stagflation afterwards.The big problem is going to occur when the dollar weakens to the point of having inflation and recession at the same time.:new_all_coholic:
The big problem is going to occur when the dollar weakens to the point of having inflation and recession at the same time.:new_all_coholic:
But this time it will be different. Instead of paper issued in dollars at 15%, it will be Euro, Yuan, Loonie, Peso, Pound, etc. That's how it was back in the 1970's with debtor countries and high inflation; you can't borrow in your currency.I hope you guys remember how to solve that problem? 15% interest rates will do it every time.
That's exactly what I'm looking at. I like the Pro Shares funds. I bought Pro Shares S&P Ultra Short. Ticker Symbol SDS. Thanks for the info! I'll be waiting to see the futures market tonight or tomorrow to decide when to pull the trigger!FWIW (For What It's Worth)
You might have a look at "ProShares Ultra Short Dow 30" (AMEX: DXG)
Set to "correspond to twice the inverse of the daily performance of the Dow Jones Industrial Average Index."
http://www.etfconnect.com/select/fundpages/etf_funds.asp?MFID=162963
Another interesting index (for a Put) is "Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR Fund" (AMEX: XLY)
Covers industries such as: automobiles & components, consumer durables, apparel, hotels, restaurants, leisure, media and retailing.
http://www.etfconnect.com/select/fundpages/etf_funds.asp?MFID=50828
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The problem involves a rule passed a couple of years ago that will put the banking industry's outside auditors in peril if they sign off on results that they really can't verify.
And right now there is nothing verifiable - or even understandable - about the banking industry's exposure to derivatives.
The auditors' dilemma was caused by a rule change that now prohibits banks from indemnifying auditors against mistakes.
A rule enacted in February 2006 by the Treasury Department, Federal Reserve and the Federal Deposit Insurance Administration now prohibit banks from doing that.