Surf Cat
Elite Member
- Joined
- Apr 21, 2003
- Professional Status
- Certified Residential Appraiser
- State
- California
Don't say probable with J in the thread!The probable point of value after analyzing the adjusted range of value is $500,000 .....lol
Don't say probable with J in the thread!The probable point of value after analyzing the adjusted range of value is $500,000 .....lol
Yes, I was being a know-it-all, sorry - wrt your mentor.You don't know this! You're being a know-it-all right now!
You conveniently discarded the other checks in regards to missing the purchase by under 1% (days on market, are there backup offers, history of median sales price as a percentage of list price) along with other factors that Terrel mentioned.
But you go ahead and kill the deals because you're "that good".
Agree completely. Unfortunately, some appraisers try to claim an unsupported level of precision and they believe everything that's in the MLS as gospel. MLS data is wrong as often as it is right. Maybe not terribly wrong, but its entered into the system by agents that are not disinterested 3rd parties. They have a fiduciary responsibility to the owner; not to appraisers.9 of 10 appraisers might go back and "adjust" their adjustments so that it gets bracketed - especially if the original comp price is above the "target". Face it. If the margin of error is 1% - like in the example above - are we that good? (just to trigger UNoWho) No we are not. The data dictates the margin of error not the appraiser. We should not be "killing deals" over minor differences in price vs a calculated MV estimate.
There we go again, a statement that " no appraiser is that good " - again, where is this slime statement in USPAP ?? Or in any appraisal text? Appraisers as professionals are supposed to be "that good" of course the nonsense about judging it by a salwe price is pathetic but that is where our field has sunk and why the GSE's are moving away from appraisals -There is no need for anyone to ever have to pay $5k out of their pocket to cover a low value. No appraiser is that good and it just irritates everyone involved in the transaction. Those appraisers careers are normally short and they belong in accounting or bookkeeping where their is only one correct and factual summation.
The appraisal does not state the value opinion to be THE ONLY credible number. You understand that, correct?Agree completely. Unfortunately, some appraisers try to claim an unsupported level of precision and they believe everything that's in the MLS as gospel. MLS data is wrong as often as it is right. Maybe not terribly wrong, but its entered into the system by agents that are not disinterested 3rd parties. They have a fiduciary responsibility to the owner; not to appraisers.
It would do wonders for this profession if, in the beginning appraisal education classes, the providers would spend a day or more, whatever is necessary, to educate future appraisers on the concepts of accuracy and precision.
Appraisers report A number, not THE ONLY credible number. So, to answer the question..."Are we that good?" We are only as good as the data we have available to us and ITS NOT THAT GOOD. Some appraisers tend to think that they can opine a value that is more accurate or precise than the data available. No, you can't. You're not that good.
Nope, never heard of it except during my production and operations management class in college.You have never heard of a point value used in an appraisal?
That is how the vast majority of properties for lending purposes are appraised—( the client wants a point value ) and for many other purposes as well.
Why am I not surprised that you think that the concepts of accuracy and precision are nothing more than 'word salad'. If you had a clue about the concepts, you'd understand how ignorant your posts sound regarding the issue.It is a bunch of word salad about more accurate or precise than the data available.
If you understood the concepts you'd realize that one is claiming a higher level of precision than the other. One has two significant digits (another strange concept to you, I'm sure) indicating a precision to $10K. The other has three significant digits claiming a level of precision to $1K.If the appraiser opined 680k or 676k, either one is a precise number, per what you said.