I am in the So cal area.
I seem to be a tad busier in July.
Thinking appraisers must be going out of business. Anyone else see work pick up a little?
Orders pick up with a down turn in interest rates. Usually, there is a delay of a week or so. One of my old MB clients (in California) said he felt that most of his problem was due to the fact that short sales and foreclosures are now a large part of the business, and that the lenders putting the properties up for sale are steering potential buyers to get loans directly through them.
I think, unless the ecomony gets a lot worse, that many home prices have bottomed out in the SF Bay Area. This is particularly true on the low end - for example, condos located on the Peninsula. Shelter Creek, San Bruno Condos list for as little as $209,000 for a 1 Bed/1 Bath. A great location - clean air, just of 280, centrally located, within commute distance of San Francisco, Oakland, San Jose, etc.., - and BART and SAMTRANS just down the street. It should be noted that the $209,000 list is just to get the bidding going. Offers will come in $240,000- $285,000 depending on location within the complex and quality. Young professional couples are moving in and remodeling. Tenant ownership is up to 75%. We may see more listings as ARMs reset ... but I doubt the price will go down, because there is pent-up demand for housing at this price. And that same logic works its way up to the larger and better quality properties, as well as laterally to other condo complexes in the area.
... Now, I'm not saying the median price won't come down some more ... but if some certain candidate gets elected as president, we get out of Iraq (expected anyway ... because Iraq is brother to Iran and it's kind of a waste of money when you think about it (note Iraq is already starting to beef up resistance to US influence)), ..., then it is quite likely the economy will begin to stabilize and expectations improve - and that's the key to prices improving. But who knows for sure, a big hurricane in Houston, another terrorist attack, ....
Bert Craytor, SRA