I've always been curious why the builder is such an island of control that he /she does not have to compete with other builders...? Just curious.
They do compete with other builders. And one can use other builder comps, however, new home sales in outside communities are subject to same influences as in subject community...new home hype, overpriced lot and upgrade premiums, contracts including concessions, cash back at closing , upgrade credits worth 20k , and so on. Therefore, the appraiser should include 1 but preferably 2 or 3 recent resales, in subject community and out, much as you don't like the idea.
Let me guess. There are no other builder developments with new sales nearby. There are a paucity of new sales in the MLS. So we use a USED house as a comp and that "resale" is supposed to set market value...Why would you sell a "near new" house...say one that is 1 or 2 years old.????
The house has defects that the owner wants to escape
They discover it is more house than they can afford
They have to move due to job change or loss....
A defect scenario aside, #1 and #2 are hardly distress situtions. They are within the realm of range of typical seller reasons, inlcuding divorce and other motivations. not all sellers have forever to sell and are only selling because they want to move and don't need to .
Why would someone sell a new home in the first year of two, or three? Many reasons, inlcuding the fact that some investors buy in new communities . So, we have a range of seller motivations, perhaps, per your scenario, extra motivated sellers the first year. fine, but You ignored the buyer side of it. Why are they paying so much less?
If the new homes have good market appeal, they should only be worth less due to depreciation , and perhaps sell for 3-5% less. Rgardless of seller motivation. When they hit the market, they should sell at a decent price . But, often, they don't. What we see is recently built homes selling for far less, usually 10-30% below new builder homes. Some are selling as steeply discounted as 40% less.
Why? The homes are almost identical to the new, often the same model. Some of the recent resales have not even been lived in. If the VALUE was there, why aren't they selling well?
Many reasons...builder hype and allure...remember touring the fancy decorated model and the slick sales center... a resale does not have that. Think the builder model and sales center STIMULATED prices above MV? Maybe. Then there are the buyers. Resale buyers are often local, and have a lot to choose from, including other new developments. New home buyers are often from out of area, who buy from national advertising or a website, sometimes sight unseen. These same buyers are not going to shop MLS/resales.Then there are the builder contracts, with preferred financing, concessions, prepaids, decorating allowances of 30k, etc. A resale buyer can't compete with that.
So a nearly new house sale is (almost always) a short sale or a distressed sale.
Not necessarily, see above. And even if a home becomes a short or distress sale, it is first put on the market a normal exposure time..why isn't the home commanding a good price from the buyers?
So the builder price is too high.... The nearly new sale has SOME depreciation 2% or whatever...AND likely was a distressed sale.
The problem is not a mere 2%, the problem is many newer home resales lose as much value as 10-30%, and before they turn into distress sales, they were on the market as normal sales and could not get the price paid, and THAT is why they turn into distress sales.
It's a choice. Common sense tells me that a NEW house will sell for what the builder and buyer will negotiate short any superadeqacy or inadequacy that the builder/buyer have included in the construction.
If lenders shared this view, they would not hire appraisers. The SC price would be the value.
I don't give a hoot what Fannie or FHA mandates...they may set the rules, but they don't make the market...