• Welcome to AppraisersForum.com, the premier online  community for the discussion of real estate appraisal. Register a free account to be able to post and unlock additional forums and features.

Stupid is as Stupid Does (Cont'd) - The Jersey Shore

Status
Not open for further replies.
Meandering, it is a shame the antibodies tests are still disappointing for addressing this particular Corona virus. At least the people who are known to have had it and survived can donate plasma. Be great to find out if or how long immunity lasts but that is not yet known. That is the "novel" part of a novel virus. edit I think there is a nurse in your family, hope she is okay in this.

Everything was done too late everywhere but some places tried to act in the best interest of their citizens. The counties near San Francisco closed earlier than we did. We were affected early and acted in concert with NY and NJ. That is not bragging. Notice those states' governors are not now in the position of having to contradict themselves like DeSantis.

I met a visiting scholar who asked in early March why Americans were not wearing masks and why the government was not doing anything. I told her at this time leadership will come from the state and local levels and will vary across the country. She watched a while and stopped her husband from joining her here because he was safer in China, she said.

Why are appraisers so bad at statistics?

Glenn, let Uncle Billy drive.
 
What the heck happened to you during your childhood that makes you think like this? It's stunning.
There is nothing stunning that happened in my childhood I grew up a mile from you so its just that we all have our individual opinions. To me me the Covid-19 Daily and Monthly Death Rate is the most logical statistic to follow-because it doesn't lie, it can't be manipulated, misread, or used for political purposes or for financial gain.
 
Meandering, it is a shame the antibodies tests are still disappointing for addressing this particular Corona virus. At least the people who are known to have had it and survived can donate plasma. Be great to find out if or how long immunity lasts but that is not yet known. That is the "novel" part of a novel virus. edit I think there is a nurse in your family, hope she is okay in this.

Everything was done too late everywhere but some places tried to act in the best interest of their citizens. The counties near San Francisco closed earlier than we did. We were affected early and acted in concert with NY and NJ. That is not bragging. Notice those states' governors are not now in the position of having to contradict themselves like DeSantis.

I met a visiting scholar who asked in early March why Americans were not wearing masks and why the government was not doing anything. I told her at this time leadership will come from the state and local levels and will vary across the country. She watched a while and stopped her husband from joining her here because he was safer in China, she said.

Why are appraisers so bad at statistics?

Glenn, let Uncle Billy drive.
No Offense but your Little State Of Connecticut has not done so well. And the minute you start talking about San Francisco I know you have gone off your med's :)
 
To me me the Covid-19 Daily and Monthly Death Rate is the most logical statistic to follow
You are exactly right. If you understand the simple fact that this is a fat tailed event (statistically) then the curve depresses to a steady level of deaths but never goes back to zero in a predictable fashion. The virus will either morph into something more benign or herd immunity develops in the absence of a vaccine. That's why older people didn't develop polio, they had achieved a level of immunity by virtue of tiny doses of the polio virus. It only impacted children or people very isolated from others. We are in that long fat tailed decline that will show a near steady state for months or years or like SARS morphs into a less lethal virus. The possibility that everyone is going to shelter in place forever is wishful thinking. We have to live (or die) with it.
 
You persist in mischaracterizing every post that does not support your views. Yes we have suffered, so your response is scorn, Glenn? Being hit early, as the coasts were, gave others not yet hit the chance to see what we went through and to adopt simple prudent steps. Why you wandered into this fight I dunno except it is Friday. Oh no a Friday + holiday, I shoulda known better.

Wear a mask, give some space, think of others. Is that really so hard? It worked for us to improve things. There is no victory, we are not even out of the first part. It is not the flu or a cold. There are people who survived but have not recovered in months. We'll be short of dialysis machines next because it is hard on kidneys. But you're waiting for others to take the hit so you don't have to try at all?

Herd immunity. First, no one knows if there even is immunity from natural infection (not from a vaccine) nor how long immunity lasts. Your fantasy of herd immunity takes 70% of a population. You know what that would take in terms of suffering, disability, ruin and death? You can take your fat tails off to a calculator and figure it out.

That is 200 million Americans whose health and wellbeing you casually discount. Terrel I do not want to hear one more sad story about yet another distant relative nor guy from the breakfast counter who died from some freak tractor, rabid gopher, or other mishap, as so many do in your wistful accounts.
 
You persist in mischaracterizing every post that does not support your views. Yes we have suffered, so your response is scorn, Glenn? Being hit early, as the coasts were, gave others not yet hit the chance to see what we went through and to adopt simple prudent steps. Why you wandered into this fight I dunno except it is Friday. Oh no a Friday + holiday, I shoulda known better.

Wear a mask, give some space, think of others. Is that really so hard? It worked for us to improve things. There is no victory, we are not even out of the first part. It is not the flu or a cold. There are people who survived but have not recovered in months. We'll be short of dialysis machines next because it is hard on kidneys. But you're waiting for others to take the hit so you don't have to try at all?

Herd immunity. First, no one knows if there even is immunity from natural infection (not from a vaccine) nor how long immunity lasts. Your fantasy of herd immunity takes 70% of a population. You know what that would take in terms of suffering, disability, ruin and death? You can take your fat tails off to a calculator and figure it out.

That is 200 million Americans whose health and wellbeing you casually discount. Terrel I do not want to hear one more sad story about yet another distant relative nor guy from the breakfast counter who died from some freak tractor, rabid gopher, or other mishap, as so many do in your wistful accounts.
Gee please you want to hear some sad stories ? I Deleted the original post because it may have been too graphic and throw some people like MS R- into a safe space for life-because Its obvious She has no idea how many people I have buried in my life and many from not good deaths-try murders and suicides- So it's also obvious that some never read my older posts on Covid-19- Because I wear a mask , use latex gloves and hand sanitizer, out of respect for others. But I cannot get into worrying about 200 million people because I have enough problems dealing with 4 or 5 dunderheads, so I just do the best I can, I cannot determine if we opened to early or to late , or frankly if any of it matters anyway. Apparently my using the death rate in my area is upsetting to some, its unscientific, ignorant or just plane, cold blooded. BUT it keeps me focused on the big picture and from wandering into alarming and scaring people who have weak nervous systems or ones that are trying to put forth their personal agenda or bogus science using out dated models and now even the CDC is admitting they were way off.

Terrill has not told any sad stories, all were deaths by things that just happen everyday to normal people. This Covid-19 thing has given some folks a platform to pretend they are so concerned about everyone, and I don't buy into it. If I die tomorrow from Covid-19-there may be a few like 1 that will say wow he had some good threads but in general I will be forgotten as fast as a guy who got a shot of penicillin and it cured his syphilis .

That's fine then lock your self up and don't come out until some bureaucrat tells you its OK. After all does that person have a medical degree ? have they have saved any lives ? When people start throwing out numbers like 200 million and they spoke to a Scholar or someone from China I am like so what ? My brain goes dead because its a deflection and a pivot to change course and of course and I hear my old domineering libber wife who love to preface things with , You are not caring about the well being and you casually discount the value of the persons life's. No I don't now them but if it came down to my dog or them it may end up bad for them, because my dog is a good friend and loyal, and my two Tom cats are loyal and don't cause me as much trouble as Uncle Billy so guess what I guess I am a cold blooded *******.


Finally I don't know these people and I am not willing to sacrifice the well being of the Nation or my families life because some governor in some other State does something stupid and some guy or gal dies. You know the war is getting thin when-the enemy has to constantly raise the fear mongering Bar and then the kill shot is you don't care and you are a Covid-19 denier, and what did your parents teach you , from a guy who lived a mile down the road, attended the same schools and was indoctrinated by the same liberals I was. If I was a general I would ask my staff daily what the body count looked like ? I don't care about some so called expert sitting in a closed room 5,000 miles from the battleground , in fact I would drop his silly little *** right smack in the middle of the battlefield so I could get an-accurate count of the body bags, he would then get honest real fast and then we could assess the next move, real fast.

The same with Covid-19 many of these Governors are political hacks, and they have no idea what they are doing yet majestically determine which businesses are essential or non-essential, guess what, every one who is none-essential is part of the Bureaucracy. The delivery guy-gal-grocery clerk their life is worth no more than Uncle Billy's and if he/she gets C-19- Sorry thank you for your service and we are all in this together.
 
Last edited:
how many people I have buried in my life and many from not good deaths-try murders and suicides

Everyone I've buried, regardless of the "cause", had one thing in common.

All were taking different prescriptions that had been recalled.

Still haven't found any dead bats.

Follow the money.

.
 
Status
Not open for further replies.
Find a Real Estate Appraiser - Enter Zip Code

Copyright © 2000-, AppraisersForum.com, All Rights Reserved
AppraisersForum.com is proudly hosted by the folks at
AppraiserSites.com
Back
Top