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I think what Flacco's saying is that F/F's desire for a 12 month trend is really a desire to capture any cyclical fluctuations in the market before making a determination of long term trend.
I didn't buy from a dealer. Bought a 22 Escape that had been in a fender bender - a wheel and quarter panel. A buddy of mine buys and rebuilds these. 8,000 miles on it. Took him a year to get parts. It's fell in value now as cars are dropping like a rock but still have less than a dealer would sell it for.