Alsie35
Elite Member
- Joined
- Sep 14, 2020
- Professional Status
- Certified Residential Appraiser
- State
- Texas
Well, all that may or may not happen. No one can predict the future. As far as mtg appraisers not seeing an increase in income the past few years ...It's obvious (at least to me) that the big banks/mtg companies are doing their best to remove appraisers from the equation leaving more and more appraisers fighting for less and less. I think that if someone took a poll they'd find that most residential mtg. appraisers have not seen an increase in income in the past few years and that most have seen a decline. I expect this to continue.
Waivers, AVMs, hybrids, etc. will be the norm soon. Again, IMO (an opinion not shared by all, maybe not by many) is that a mtg appraisal does very little to mitigate lenders' losses when the borrower quits paying the mortgage. If this is the case, why bother with a full appraisal when an AVM or other product produces a number that's 'close enough'. When a borrower defaults the loss to the lender is usually a big number, much bigger than the difference of a few thousand $ that an AVM, etc. provides vs. a full appraisal. Some appraisers think they are a big component in the lending process when, in fact, they are a very small cog in a very large machine. They are currently needed so someone can check a box, little more. As long as FHA and F/F can continue lowering their standards knowing that the taxpayers will eat the losses, the system is not going to change.
... that was an obvious, and predictable, consequence of the "unnatural" increase in our income during the pandemic and is just the market adjusting itself during a period of high rates and increasing reluctance of people to move when they are holding sub-3% mortgages. It says nothing about the future of the business.
Business wise, going into residential mortgage lending and developing a system to do so efficiently has been the best business decision that I've made in my life (though it initially happened through pure happenstance).
As far as CG work goes ... I don't have the math brain so that option is not open to me ... if you do, bully for you ... we all find our niches ...