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Vineyard question

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CANative

Elite Member
Joined
Jun 18, 2003
Professional Status
Retired Appraiser
State
California
I have to deal with vineyards in my area. Both as subject properties and adjusting comparable sales. There seems to be a discrepancy between adjusting or valuing based on income capitalzation, what Realtors (who sell these frequently) say and what comparative sales analysis indicates.

The discrepancy seems to involve what the Realtors are saying. They keep telling me $40,000 per acre is what they're using. No matter where the property is and no matter what grapes are growing.

But after doing these appraisals for 7 years (even though I'm not a commercial ag appraiser) the sales data clearly shows a contributory value (not counting the underlying land) of anywhere from $10k to $50k per acre, depending on the quality and age of the vineyard and the appelation. Most of the time it's about $15k to a little more than $20k.

Using income on several vineyards (9 acres to 26 acres) I use various formulas depending on the what's there. For example 9 acres of newer zinfandel should produce about 4 tons per acre and can be sold for $1,500 per ton (about $54k gross). Half of that goes to vineyard management, maintenance and good year/bad year averaging. So the NOI is about $27k. I usually use a cap rate of 15. The value indicator is $180,000 or about $20k per acre. These formulas have to be stroked depending on variables such as the location and type and age of the vineyard, the size of the vineyard, organic versus non-organic, dry farmed versus irrigated, head trained versus wire trained, etc.

But the income and sales usually agree or are close enough for government work and I'm pretty comfortable with my final conclusions.

Are Realtors lying? Including the underlying land when they do their CMA? Am I just missing something? Or is $40k per acre just a starting off point?

Any opinions?
 
I suggest that 40k is the starting point and they are depreciating the improvements to maintain their valuation or that they have a lot of not so sophisticated buyers wanting to become a wine master.
 
they have a lot of not so sophisticated buyers wanting to become a wine master.

I've seen this several times. Once they find out how really, really hard it is to farm the land, find out what happens when the rain or the weather is perfect at the perfect time, and then find out what it's like to own a vineyard but not know anyone to sell the harvest to they let the grapes go to pot and plant pot between the rows.
 
As a general rule, realtors are very optimistic people. Sometimes optimistism clouds reality.
 
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