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WW-111 New World Order Begins- American's To Exist Israel Now.

Carnivore said:
I really like our air a campaign. I also like taking out much of Iran's ships All this really helps out our Israel ally, This air a campaign is seriously degrading Iran's ability to prosecute their war plans against Israel Side note The Iranian missles arevulnerable BUT the drones are really tough to take out.
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Iranian missiles are getting through pretty good. Many videos of Patriots chitting the bed. Even lost some jets (the friendly fire story is nonsense, those systems are networked with IFF) - still fewer than even Saddam snagged lol. But most concerning, some very important radars like FPS-132 in Qatar went boom, that is actually problematic. There's a US consulate on fire in Dubai, some hotels housing US military hit. Starting to run low on intercepters. While their own air defense game sucks (you really need full spectrum net centric with sats for that), they are good at offensive ballistics and drones. That said, they only have so many to fire off before they are attrited.
 
I couldn't get the link to work, this is on X


Shanaka Anslem Perera

@shanaka86

The Strait of Hormuz did not close because of missiles. It closed because seven insurance companies filed paperwork. Between March 1 and 2, seven of twelve P&I clubs insuring 90% of the world's ocean-going tonnage issued 72-hour cancellation notices for Gulf war risk. Transits collapsed 80%. Forty-plus supertankers sit idle. Thirteen LNG tankers diverted. The world's most important energy chokepoint shut down by spreadsheet, not by strike. This is 2008 repo transferred to a new substrate. In September 2008 banks stopped lending not because they were insolvent but because verifying counterparty solvency cost more than the overnight loan was worth. Identical mechanism. Gulf reinsurers cannot model the risk. So they did not reprice. They withdrew entirely. A military blockade ends when the campaign ends. An actuarial blockade ends when reinsurers decide it has ended. Those are fundamentally different timelines. Brent at $79 prices a four-to-eight-week disruption. The evidence supports six to eighteen months for full insurance reinstatement. The Red Sea never even triggered full P&I withdrawal and premiums remain elevated two years later. The 2008 repo market took twelve to eighteen months to normalise with TARP behind it. The maritime insurance market has received nothing. March 5, midnight GMT. Cancellation notices take effect. Zero commercially insured vessels transit Hormuz after that without a government backstop that does not yet exist. Four to sixteen months of unpriced duration sitting in plain sight. If I am wrong: Hormuz transits recover above 70 vessels per day within 14 days of March 5. Brent sustains below $75 for five sessions. A multi-flag government backstop is announced within seven days. Until then, $79 is not pricing a temporary disruption. It is pricing a misunderstanding.
 
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Shanaka Anslem Perera


@shanaka86


Twenty million barrels of oil passed through the Strait of Hormuz yesterday. Today the number may be zero. Not because Iran mined the water. Not because a tanker was hit. Because Lloyd’s of London picked up the phone. War risk underwriters began canceling policies for strait transits hours after Operation Epic Fury launched. The Financial Times confirmed premiums surging 50 percent. Baseline war risk sits at 0.25 percent of hull value. For a hundred million dollar tanker that is 250,000 dollars per voyage. At peak escalation rates, one million per transit. Vessels linked to American or Israeli interests are becoming uninsurable entirely. No price. No policy. No passage. The KHK Empress was loaded with Omani crude heading for Basra when it executed a U-turn mid-strait and redirected to India. The Eagle Veracruz halted at the western approach carrying two million barrels of Saudi crude bound for China. The Front Shanghai stopped off Sharjah with Iraqi crude destined for Rotterdam. Nippon Yusen ordered its entire fleet to avoid Hormuz. Greece told its merchant armada to reassess passage. Hapag-Lloyd suspended all transits. None of them were fired upon. Every one of them got the same call. More than fifty million years ago the Arabian plate collided with the Eurasian plate and compressed the Persian Gulf into a basin that drains through a single geological bottleneck twenty one miles wide. Twenty one percent of global petroleum. Twenty percent of all seaborne LNG. One fifth of industrial civilization’s energy supply forced through a tectonic accident narrower than the English Channel, bordered on one side by the country whose supreme leader was killed yesterday morning.

The USS Abraham Lincoln carries enough Tomahawks to sink every IRGC patrol boat in 48 hours. Operation Praying Mantis crippled Iran’s operational naval forces in eight hours in 1988. The Fifth Fleet has rehearsed this scenario for decades. None of that matters. Aircraft carriers cannot force an underwriter to rewrite a policy. Tomahawks cannot lower a premium. The most powerful navy in human history cannot make a Lloyd’s syndicate decide that a VLCC transiting Iranian coastal waters represents an acceptable risk on a Saturday afternoon when missiles are landing in Dubai. Goldman Sachs estimates Brent could peak at 110 dollars per barrel. JP Morgan projects 120 to 130. At those levels every airline bleeds cash. Every central bank watches three years of inflation fighting reignite overnight. Bypass pipelines from Saudi Arabia and the UAE handle roughly three million barrels. Hormuz handles twenty million. The math does not close. Iran figured out something the Pentagon still has not. You do not need to close a strait. You just need to make it uninsurable.
 
cashcatz said:
Yeah, the US is not a sovereign country any more - duh. I really don't blame Israel, they are smart (much higher IQs than avg. American) and know how to survive, even if that means being parasitic. It's still rather be fed on by them than gay commies or people who get really excited about spa-day.
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They may be parasitic, but apparently they are the type that wraps around the brain stem, controlling the host.
 
cashcatz said:
Even lost some jets (the friendly fire story is nonsense, those systems are networked with IFF)
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The story out there is that the battery was being operated by the Kuwaities and they set it on automatic. No matter the cause somebody screwed the pooch
 
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