January "Pending Sales" per Nat'l Assoc of Realtors said yesterday that January pending sales were the lowest (down 4.6%) since they started keeping track in 2001.
Combination of factors, perhaps. Increasing prices combined with stubborn interest rates, combined with low temps, fires, floods & snow?
And also some consumer uncertainty as to what is in store for the next 6 months economically. Previously 'secure' government jobs in particular have suddenly become targeted, with many in very specialized fields abruptly getting their walking papers. I suspect those employees didn't see themselves as potentially jobless, income-less, or losing their homes in foreclosure within the next 6 months (unemployment compensation will be inadequate to support their lifestyles). In the real estate marketplace, does that mean a bunch more houses will hit the market as those execs try to save themselves? Are their potential buyers confident enough in the economy going forward to offer current prices for those houses? or will we see some market value erosion as more exec homes hit the market than are likely to be absorbed? I would think areas around D.C. might have an extra bad time of it.
And beyond the "executive" class of government employees, there is the trickle-down effect in the economy for the still-working who may feel they are also in jeopardy. And if everybody hangs on more tightly to their dollars in anticipation of rough times in near future, will folks put off purchasing furniture and clothing, car repairs and restaurant food, airplane travel and auto purchases? Uh-oh. There is an old saying, "It's not what happened to you that's important; it's what you THINK happened to you that's important." Even if ppl haven't been directly affected by this swarm of firings, they may THINK they WILL be affected, and that affects their behavior.
Making a big, long-term financial decision (like buying a house) may be put aside until folks feel comfortable with the outlook of their financial future.