All Solar, Et Al, In 12 Years?

[Randolph Kinney]

Still posting from a humor site? Definitely appropriate.

You'll love this one science "boy" with a small "b".

Computer Models Linking Climate, CO2 ‘Leave No Room For The Sun’

After reviewing thousands of peer-reviewed scientific papers, an international team of 47 scientists has concluded that carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions caused by human activity had little measurable impact on the Earth’s climate during the 20th century, and that computer models predicting ever-rising temperatures as a result of greenhouse gas emissions are seriously flawed.

“None of them have been validated against actual observations. They have not been able to explain why the climate hasn’t warmed in at least 17 years even though that’s what every model expects,” Dr. S. Fred Singer said during a conference call Tuesday. “

Professor emeritus of environmental science at the University of Virginia, Singer criticized the U.N.’s Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), whose latest report is scheduled to be released on Sept. 27 in Stockholm. Using CO2 “to account for all temperature variations leaves no room for the sun, and is contradicted by every other temperature record,” Singer said.

Singer is the lead author of “Climate Change Reconsidered,” which was released Tuesday. It is the third volume in a series published by the Non-Governmental International Panel on Climate Change (NIPCC). The “double peer-reviewed study” was sponsored by the Science and Environmental Policy Project (SEPP), Center for the Study of Carbon Dioxide and Global Change, and the Heartland Institute.

“Some models predict more cloud cover, some less, some no change,” agreed Dr. Willie Soon, a solar expert and co-author of the NIPCC study. “So anything goes. That is not the way science works,” added Soon, chief science advisor at the Science and Public Policy Institute.

Co-author Dr. Craig Idso, chairman of the Center for the Study of Carbon Dioxide and Global Change, said that “claims that temperatures in the polarregions are rising is patently false,” adding that “empirical data for the past 1,000 years” shows no evidence that CO2 levels cause droughts, floods, hurricanes or other severe weather. Nor did storms in the 20th century increase in either intensity or frequency over previous centuries, Idso said.

“This new volume provides the scientific balance missing from IPCC,” Idso said. Global temperatures have risen slightly because the Earth is still coming out of the Little Ice Age (800-1100 A.D.), the coldest temperatures recorded in the last 10,000 years, he noted. “But thousands of peer-reviewed scientific articles do not support, and often contradict the IPCC’s view on climate change.”

Contrary to the UN panel, the NIPCC study concludes that “the human effect (from CO2 emissions) is likely to be small relative to natural variability, and whatever small warming is likely to occur will produce benefits as well as costs.”

http://www.cnsnews.com/news/article...-models-linking-climate-co2-leave-no-room-sun

 

[Randolph Kinney]

World's top climate scientists confess: Global warming is just QUARTER what we thought - and computers got the effects of greenhouse gases wrong

• Leaked report reveals the world has warmed at quarter the rate claimed by IPCC in 2007
  
• Scientists accept their computers may have exaggerated

A leaked copy of the world’s most authoritative climate study reveals scientific forecasts of imminent doom were drastically wrong.

The Mail on Sunday has obtained the final draft of a report to be published later this month by the UN Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), the ultimate watchdog whose massive, six-yearly ‘assessments’ are accepted by environmentalists, politicians and experts as the gospel of climate science.

They are cited worldwide to justify swingeing fossil fuel taxes and subsidies for ‘renewable’ energy.

Yet the leaked report makes the extraordinary concession that over the past 15 years, recorded world temperatures have increased at only a quarter of the rate of IPCC claimed when it published its last assessment in 2007.

They admit large parts of the world were as warm as they are now for decades at a time between 950 and 1250 AD – centuries before the Industrial Revolution, and when the population and CO2 levels were both much lower.

The IPCC admits that while computer models forecast a decline in Antarctic sea ice, it has actually grown to a new record high. Again, the IPCC cannot say why.

A forecast in the 2007 report that hurricanes would become more intense has simply been dropped, without mention.

This year has been one of the quietest hurricane seasons in history and the US is currently enjoying its longest-ever period – almost eight years – without a single hurricane of Category 3 or above making landfall.

http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/art...uters-got-effects-greenhouse-gases-wrong.html

 

[Meandering]

Darn, and I just found this website that shows how high the seas have to rise to lose Miami, and Long Island.

http://geology.com/sea-level-rise/florida.shtml

.

 

[Randolph Kinney]

Darn, and I just found this website that shows how high the seas have to rise to lose Miami, and Long Island.

http://geology.com/sea-level-rise/florida.shtml

.

Does not appear to lose anything at 1 meter (3.3 feet) rise. At 3 meters I see the effects.

 

[Meandering]

I went full board 60+ meters and still did not get ocean front property.

Darn,

But I'm intrigued how all the rivers rose up, except the Delaware stopped below Easton, but the Hudson rose all the way past Albany to Glens Falls. That's some rough terrain it's going up.

 

[Terrel L. Shields]

The real reason the GW scientists are so unbelievable is they are not worthy of belief. Hysterical claims of imminent doom have turned out to be false. Hanson predicted we have to do something by 2000 or the world is doomed. He was very very wrong. But he wasn't apologetic nor did he really do any additional research, rather he doubled down on the rhetoric without backing it up. Climategate emails clearly show how poorly the data was and why the raw data was purged to prevent skeptical researchers to even determine if the data were random or not.

So how good are the key players in the global fraud? From the emails ....

from: Phil Jones <???@uea.ac.uk>
subject: Diagram for WMO Statement
to: ray bradley <???@geo.umass.edu>,???@virginia.edu, ???@ltrr.arizona.edu


Dear Ray, Mike and Malcolm,
Once Tim's got a diagram here we'll send that either later today or first thing tomorrow. I've just completed Mike's Nature trick of adding in the real temps to each series for the last 20 years (ie from 1981 onwards) amd from 1961 for Keith's to hide the decline. Mike's series got the annual land and marine values while the other two got April-Sept for NH land N of 20N. The latter two are real for 1999, while the estimate for 1999 for NH combined is +0.44C wrt 61-90. The Global estimate for 1999 with data through Oct is +0.35C cf. 0.57 for 1998. Thanks for the comments, Ray.

Cheers
Phil

Prof. Phil Jones
Climatic Research Unit Telephone +44 ???
School of Environmental Sciences Fax +44 ???
University of East Anglia
Norwich Email ???@uea.ac.uk
NR4 7TJ
UK​

 

[Meandering]

Oh no!

Call out the inquisition!

Miami, the great world city, is drowning while the powers that be look away
Low-lying south Florida, at the front line of climate change in the US, will be swallowed as sea levels rise. Astonishingly, the population is growing, house prices are rising and building goes on. The problem is the city is run by climate change deniers.

"Climate change is no longer viewed as a future threat round here," says atmosphere expert Professor Ben Kirtman, of the University of Miami. "It is something that we are having to deal with today."

(What the heck is an atmosphere expert?? Don't they work in restaurants picking décor?)

Every year, with the coming of high spring and autumn tides, the sea surges up the Florida coast and hits the west side of Miami Beach, which lies on a long, thin island that runs north and south across the water from the city of Miami. The problem is particularly severe in autumn when winds often reach hurricane levels. Tidal surges are turned into walls of seawater that batter Miami Beach's west coast and sweep into the resort's storm drains, reversing the flow of water that normally comes down from the streets above. Instead seawater floods up into the gutters of Alton Road, the first main thoroughfare on the western side of Miami Beach, and pours into the street. Then the water surges across the rest of the island.

(uhm, don't build on a sand bar? See the Willoughby Spit history)

The effect is calamitous. Shops and houses are inundated; city life is paralyzed; cars are ruined by the corrosive seawater that immerses them. During one recent high spring tide, Laundromat owner Eliseo Toussaint watched as slimy green saltwater bubbled up from the gutters. It rapidly filled the street and then blocked his front door. "This never used to happen," Toussaint told the New York Times. "I've owned this place eight years and now it's all the time."

(uhm, don't build on the side of volcanos either, or in swamps. There is a reason the government wants people to stop building along the shoreline. Because apparently people are too dumb not to figure that out for themselves.)

Hence the construction work at Alton Road, where $400m is now being spent in an attempt to halt these devastating floods – by improving Miami Beach's stricken system of drains and sewers. In total, around $1.5bn is to be invested in projects aimed at holding back the rising waters. Few scientists believe the works will have a long-term effect.

(and yet your keep building. Are the rest of us supposed to finance stupid?)

Can't figure out water moves?

http://www.theguardian.com/world/2014/jul/11/miami-drowning-climate-change-deniers-sea-levels-rising


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[Randolph Kinney]

And science "boy" with a small "b" can't understand why we don't believe the science.

 

[Meandering]

Who science boy who said NY is afraid it's sinking between 0.2 and 0.5 inches a year?




This 1807 map shows the island's original shore, bounded by the yellow line.

Battery Park City, created out of the material excavated during construction of the World Financial Center in the 1960s, lies beyond the line. (Library of Congress)
http://archive.archaeology.org/1011/etc/wtc.html


That's where NOAA is measuring sea rise, but if you compare the 1807 image to the current satellite image, you see New York as extending out into the ocean.


OMG! The oceans are receding.

 

[Meandering]

APPRAISER HERO OPPORTUNITY ALERT!

11 hours ago

On Key Largo, a tropical isle famous for snorkeling and fishing, the floods began in late September.
While people expected high tides due to the season and the influence of a super moon, they were taken by surprise when a handful of streets in the lowest-lying neighborhoods stayed inundated for nearly a month with 16-inches (40-centimeters) of saltwater.

By early November, the roads finally dried up. But unusually heavy rains in December brought it all back again.

Residents have signed petitions, voiced anger at community meetings and demanded that local officials do something, whether by raising roads or improving drainage.

Sometimes, they clash over whether the floods are, or are not, a result of man-made climate change.

(Wait, didn't they say it was the super moon?)

Residents tend to agree on one thing, which is for many their life's biggest investment.

"We are all concerned about our property values," said Prew, the mother of 11-year-old twins, who estimates her home's market value at about a million dollars.

But they can broadly predict how much more water to expect -- up to 10 inches (25 centimeters) above the 1992 average in the next 15 years and 26 inches (0.6 meters) by 2060, according to the Southeast Florida Regional Climate Change Compact Sea Level Rise Work Group.

Absent measures to adapt the properties, that amount of sea level rise by 2060 would wipe out 12 percent of property value in the Keys, a string of 1,700 small islands built on porous, prehistoric coral reefs, said a 2011 report by Florida scientists.

Forecasts for 2100 are more dire. Since most of the islands are less than six feet (two meters) above the current sea level, a five-foot (1.5 meter) water rise in the Keys would erase 68 percent of property value in the area.

For now, south Florida real estate is booming.

More than half of transactions are paid for in cash, a sign of the powerful influence of foreign investors on the real estate market.

"Our entire market area continues to experience record level sales activity and significant price growth, consistently since 2011," said Lynda Fernandez, senior vice president of public relations at the Miami Association of Realtors.

Even in the Keys, sales are up 17 percent and the average home sale price is $512,000, up three percent from last year.

"So far we have not been seeing buyers being concerned with sea level rise, which I'm a little surprised given all the media attention it has garnered lately," said Lisa Ferringo, president of the Marathon/Lower Keys Board of Realtors.

But experts warn that plenty of cash and land stand to disappear in the next 15 years.

As much as $15 billion could be lost in Florida property by 2030, according to Risk Management Solutions (RMS), a leading catastrophe risk modeling company which advises insurance companies.

- Gentrification of the shore -

While many homeowners fear plummeting prices, some experts say they foresee the opposite.

"One thing we have expected to see is a gentrification of the shore, where people who can't afford to rebuild are selling out to people who can," said Clinton Andrews, a professor of planning and public policy at Rutgers University.

To a certain extent, keeping home buyers oblivious to the risks of living on the shore can help fuel the marketplace -- generating higher tax revenues to pay for upgrades to roads, power and wells, according to Robert Meyer, professor of marketing at the University of Pennsylvania.

"If there are scare tactics to discourage people from moving into the area and accelerate people to start moving out, then there simply isn't going to be the money to make the adaptations," Meyer told AFP.

In the Keys, local officials are still studying ways to address the floods, and are planning a pair of demonstration projects to showcase the possibilities, said Rhonda Haag, Monroe County Sustainability Director.

But sea walls are impractical for the 113 miles (182 km) of islands. Pumps can't keep up with water that comes in from all sides and also up through the porous ground. Simply raising roads could send excess water into people's yards.

"We are going to try to be creative," Haag told AFP.

"We don't want to rule out anything because we don't know yet what will or won't work."

http://news.yahoo.com/florida-keys-flood-property-worries-seep-041916596.html

But keep that money flowing.

Send in the Appraiser rescue squad. Protect those values.