I doubt the "accuracy" of the value as well. Furthermore, an opinion of value is supposed to be credible and supported, as well as accurate. Accurate is a buzz word...the accuracy is proven by the loop of the software and regression analysis, so it seems like a supported value, but is it suppored out there in the real market ? If it is not, and I doubt it is, #1), it will cause immense problems down the road for users depending on it to be as credible as an appraisal #2) all the appraisers who did these will be liable for the values.
Whether E & O providers will even stand behind this product as appraisal is another issue as well. If a claim comes in, they may very well deny it, they have attorneys that are expert in USPAP. If the E and O attorneys, let alone the opposing side, claim that it is negligant for an appraiser to rely on a software program to filter data and the appraiser did not perform due diligence in manually checking the data and verifying with market particpants (and verifying/checking takes hours, the appraiser at that point might as well do a "tradtional" appraisal.). In any event, I don't think this product will stand up to reviews for value later of claims against it and doubt even an apprasier's own E & O would stand behind it, even though they push CVR as "USPAP compliant"
I think appraisers falling for this whole, "the market is changing, you have to be as fast and cheap to compete" is wrong. Part of the housing meltdown was caused by faulty AVM's. Borrowers took out huge equity lines of credit based on AVM's and are now defaulting. When I owned my prior home and applied for an equity line of credit, the bank ordered an AVM and it was 100k over the real value of my home. I even called the bank and told them I was an appraiser and their AVM was 100k off and the loan officer laughed. Wonder how much they are laughing now with all the homeowners defaulting who borrowed over what their homes were worth.
When I first trained in appraisal, appraisals took a week to 10 days to finish. There was a low default rate and solid values from the appraisals. Now, the turn time is pressured to be 48-72 hours ( from the AMC's ). Loans take on average 30-60 days to close, with average closing of 6 weeks. The underwriter has to check employment, a title search made, survey, home inspection etc. Hundreds of thousand of dollars are at stake and loans are made for 30 years. Is one more day to deliver an appraisal really going to make a differnce? If the difference means able to verify and support and arrive at a credible value, is 24 hours worth risking so much for?
I don't expect bankers to wait 10 days for an appraisal ( though it wouldn't kill them). 3-5 days ,is average to deliver a report. Most appraisals sit in the file for 2-4 weeks while the underwriter waits for other docs to come in anyway.
$175 for a CVR, where did that come from? It comes from what Forysthe charges their AMC clients, and then Forsythe turns around and pays their staff appraisers between $90-$110 a report. Companies like Forsythe are parasites. They don't have direct lender clients ( or they have very few). What they do is contract in bulk to AMC's for orders at prices from $150-$175 a report, thus undercutting even local indpendent fee appraisers that the AMC would at least pay $200-$225 to. Supporting companies like Forsythe in any way shape or form is the fastest way to kill the profession.
JVI, who is a pretty decent company to work with, contacted me to train for CVR (I'd have to pay $499 or course). I refused, but before I refused asked them what they would pay for a CVR report. They said $80, but it would only take an hour or two to complete. Here we go again. If it takes an hour or two, I am not verifying. If I don't verify, I doubt my E & O will back me up on a claim. If I do the report so fast, I doubt there is any way for me to back check and see if the value is credible. And if I do the report in 4 hours, I am losing money. If I take two days to verify, the client will drop me for being too slow.
If appraisers refuse to go along with this nonsense and the lenders need appraisals with a signature and everything that comes along with the signature, the ability to devleop a value the appraiser has to stand behind for 5 years, the E and O, etc, then the lenders should pay for it.
If lenders don't want to pay for appraisals, then the profession will die out. But at least we don't have to help kill our own profession.
But, truly, if we don't fall for keep doing it faster and cheaper, lenders will pay for appraisals. They make thousands on each loan in origination fees and points, and hundreds of thousand over the life of the loan in intrest.
Think about the scale.. a bank balks at paying $100 more for an appraisal, compared to the $4000-$8000 in points and origination fees a bank makes at closing, then add in the $150,000 in intrest payments the bank or whoever they sell the paper to will earn. AND NONE OF IT HAPPENS WITHOUT THE APPRAISAL, WHETHER A TRAIDTIONAL APPRAISAL OR A CVR APPRAISAL. Our appraisals allow banks to make hundreds of thousands per loan.
The threat to replace us with faster/cheaper because of products like AVM's is a bluff. A bank can't go after anyone for a faulty AVM, as they are discovering, as they eat the loans the bad AVMS' made. And they can't pad the fees for unsigned "evaluations". Thus, even though AVM's are plenty fast and cheap, they are of limited use (plus the values are not accurate, credible, or supported.)
What to do, how to get all the liablity and crediblity of an appraisal while saving a few bucks and shaving off 24 hours...ta da! The CVR. A fast, cheap report with the signature of the dummy appraiser who pays all that high cost E and O and bears liability for five years.
A CVR is cheaper than a trad appraisal, so the banks will want it. Yet it is expensive enough that the fees can be split with managment companies and $25 taken as a backend data fee to the software provider. It is being sold to banks as being as reliable as a tradiitonal appraisal ( with no proof of that)
Re, the CVR as a product to replace BPO's is being touted as a new opportunity to appraisers. BPO's are being outlawed in many states for lending collateral. Appraisals can be used, but we don't need a CVR. If the lenders want a less costly product instead of a BPO, they can order a desktop appraisal. If a lender wants a lower cost, stop ordering through middlemen and AMC's and order from appraisers direct. That will save 40-60% on each report.