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Cost Appraoch Insanity!

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xmtpedprl

Senior Member
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Dec 6, 2005
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State
Florida
Hi,

We do a fair amount of REO work, and while most of it doesn't even require that the Cost Approach be completed, well, we're kinda anal, so we do it, anyway. Doing them teaches us a number of things, but it's also recently raised interesting issues that I cannot resolve on my own, thus I am asking for the minds greater than my own to assist in helping us learn.

I'm going to use an example from Illinois - Lake County - and Round Lake, specifically. Here goes...

To what would one attribute a land value of zero, or more accurately, LESS than zero? It goes like this:

Our subject home is 3,988 sq. ft. Good construction, hardwood floors, ceramic tile, all the good stuff. Full basement, 3 car garage, decent lot. 2 years old, still in 'As New' condition.

Try (basically) working that out on any scrap appraisal report you use for messing around with, use almost any rational figures you like (and by that I mean more than $80.00 - $90.00 per SF, etc.) See what happens.

On this particular home the Cost Approach worked out to a rational $424,000. BUT, that was with a stated lot value of $1.00. (Yes, I felt stupid doing that, but we were frustrated, and more or less gave up trying anything more sensible, if it existed.) I considered .01 cent, but thought better of that to spare my client any confusion.

HOWEVER, our Sales Comparison demonstrated, and final value was, $270,000, with a 90 day or less being $250,000.

There's more to the story, about Round Lake, and what it's going through (foreclosures galore, as my fellow Illini know), however, the question remains:

HOW does a professional appraiser account for such a phenomena on that danged Cost Approach? There's no 'Functional Obsolescence,' there's plenty of similar homes, and it's not an over or under improvement for the market. The home is 2 years old, it's MINT. Original purchase price was $414,000 in February of 2006. I mean, what gives?

All I can think of is that BEING in Round Lake (and other communities of Lake County) have become, in and of themselves, 'External Obsolescences' of some kind or another. (This also occurs a lot in Kankakee & Winnebago Counties on 'regular' homes - non-REO jobs, that is - which always confounds me.)

Is iot too much growth too quickly, combined with the now astronomical taxes, etc?? I mean, we had SEVEN REO sales in this subdivision, that IS the market now, so how does one make an account for such a thing...?

Any ideas would be so greatly appreciated. Maybe someone will just tell me what I think I should already admit - that the Cost Approach simply isn't applicable, but that just seems altogether defeatist to me.

Thanks in advance,

Dave...
 
Dave,
The Cost Approach reflects the cost to construct, not necessarily the market value. I see it a lot in Southern California where the cost to build would greatly exceed the properties fair market value.
 
Declining market = External obsolescence...
 
So, are you saying that the subject's lot is only worth a dollar? If there was no house there, only a site it would sell for $1.00?

I just need to understand what your saying. :Eyecrazy:
 
Dave,

Very simply, it would cost more to build it than it currently would cost to purchase already built. Remember, cost does not equal value. Marshall & Swift was behind the exorbitant entrepreneurial builder's profits as it rose, now they are behind backing that off.

Do you really believe the site is worth nothing??? If you were doing this VACANT building site, what would you come up with??? That is still the site value as though vacant.
 
I think what you missing is that the Cost Approach is just not applicable/reliable in a depressed market. Cost Approach doesn't reflect market value but the cost to build. If you put the real land value in, accurate cost numbers it should be close to what it is supposed to be, the cost to replace the structure. That is not the same as the market value in a depressed area. It's not that it is wrong, it's just not applicable/accurate in that market.
 
WOW 5 of us posting at virtually the same time.
 
actual land value with more obsolescence on the improvements?
 
I'd dare say 4K sq ft in RLB is an overimprovement! Nobody wanted a 4K house in RLB, they just couldn't afford it where it should be!

All these areas that were late to the party are getting hammered. They have always been marginal areas and may I be so bold as to say always will be. Happening to areas in Chicago too.

Personally I wouldn't buy a weekend home in RLB much less live there fulltime. Nice area for foreclosures though!
 
Dave, we have done a ton of REO appraisals where our cost approach is double & triple the sales approach value. But we have only used a $1.00 figure one time for the site value & that was because the site wouldn't sell for even that. The tax on the site every year was more than they could ever sell the site for.

That is in an extremely depressed city in northeast Ohio. And I mean EXTREMELY depressed area.
 
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