OK. Should we then call BS on at least some of the "concern" that is being aired by appraisers about so-called "hybrid" reports? At their root, these "hybrids" are just desktop appraisals, with the minor twist that in addition to data from public records, prior MLS listings, or whatever other data source might exist, there will be a property report prepared by a third party. By any objective reasoning, the "reliability" of "hybrids" should be at least a step up from "desktops." If there is all this inherent issue with "hybrids," then why have these appraisers not been yelling at the ASB since 1989. That is when USPAP was first introduced, and from the very first day of its existence it has acknowledged that an appraisal can be developed without a personal inspection. A lender or GSE that opts to use "hybrids" is merely availing itself of something that appraisers have formally recognized as acceptable for over 25 years. I don't see how that means, in any way, that appraisers are caving in and/or allowing lenders to drive the appraisal process. Lenders/GSEs are just considering using processes that appraisers long ago approved.
It seems to me that much of the complaining is not really based on any lack of appraiser control of the process. Instead, it seems to be driven by the perceived economic impact such a change might have. That is certainly a valid concern, and one that should not be minimized. I just don't think that addressing that concern with red herrings about losing control of the appraisal process contributes anything toward a positive result. It seems to me that appraisers are actually in pretty firm control of the appraisal process. What appraisers are not in control of is the risk appetite of users of appraisal services.
Is a "desktop"/"hybrid" good enough for a lender? How much is lender risk affected? If I were a power user of appraisal services, I would experiment. I would try the "hybrid" process and examine the results. Who wants to bet on whether or not current testing of the "hybrid" process involves sometimes actually ordering two appraisals (one "hybrid" and one regular) and comparing the outcomes? Without such data, any speculation about relative reliability of the "hybrid" process is just that.
I like this post of yours and disagree with very little of it. I agree that a hybrid is a step up from a desktop. I do not agree appraisers approve this sort of product for a loan, especially in today's world where banks have zero accountability and the taxpayer foots the bill when things go south. I think a desktop is appropriate for SOME pre-list, pre-offer or portfolio assignments, not a loan origination - but that's me.
I think you are right when you say many appraisers do not complain about losing control of the process. I think you are also right that economics is a main factor when it comes to appraiser complaining. My point is, and has been for a very long time, and maybe my opinion is far outside of the majority opinion, that the appraiser bottom line is affected when we lose control of the process, among many other very important things that are also affected when we lose control of the process, such as independence and producing reports that are meaningful and not misleading. It is my contention, that for all the right reasons, with economics being only one benefit, an added benefit even, that appraisers and appraisers only ought to have control of the process. The ways things have been done, and appears that they will continue to be done, is the client dictates the process by designing the forms, designing these alternate products, experimenting (as you say) and last but not at all least, applying lobbying power to government that appraisers have never matched. In short, I think it is a sick joke to assert appraisers actually have control of the process and if you are counting the sliver of non-lender work while making such a claim, then the claim is taken out of a realistic context.
So to sum it up, when it comes to hybrids and what we should do concerning them, and numerous other issues, I do not believe the solution is evasive as you say, rather I think the solution is right in front of us and really quite simple, if not somewhat difficult to actually accomplish - the solution is organization.
Think of it this way, instead of the lender clients experimenting as you say, if appraisers were organized, the lenders could simply pose the question of hybrids to the organization, and the organization could provide an official answer. Armed with this information, lender clients could use hybrids at their own risk, while appraisers wipe their conscious of the issue. In today's world, its pretty much chaos, with the only party even remotely holding on to the wheel being the lenders, who as history shows, could care less if they bring down the world economy or not.
Don't get me wrong Danny, I place the blame for this mess 100% on the appraiser community. We should be behind the wheel and steering our clients in the best direction possible. If the profession were run like that, fees wouldn't even be part of the discussion.