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Lying Appraisers

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Fnbpos,

I agree. Well stated
 
it's challenging to leave out the hindsight when reviewing appraisals that are 5-7 years old. It's too easy to see today what happened yesterday.

If that's how you approach it then you should put that statement in your reviews in order to declare your bias and lack of objectivity.
 
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Economists can't even agree on state of our economy. I remembered back in 2008, economists couldn't agree whether we were in a recession. It took a major crash before all economists agreed that we were in a bad economy. By then, everyone knew.
 
You are carrying the water for Fannie & Freddie. If you have to research the internet to find out what real estate newspaper writers were saying 5 to 7 years ago and give weight to that you have no business doing the review. STOP DOING THESE REVIEWS!!! The same folks complaining about appraisers today are the same ones who wanted every deal they could get their grubby hands on 5-7 years ago.

Really?

I collect information from a variety of sources, including (not only) online historical data. I see no reason to exclude data that may be useful in analyzing the market at that time.

Do you rely on your memory?
 
Economists can't even agree on state of our economy. I remembered back in 2008, economists couldn't agree whether we were in a recession. It took a major crash before all economists agreed that we were in a bad economy. By then, everyone knew.

What were the NAR economists saying? I might have missed their memo that things were not looking so great but I recall thinking that those guys would probably still be calling it rosy if a zombie apocalypse hit and the only ones showing up for open houses were animated corpses trying to eat the listing agent.
 
Here's what they are saying now.

I’m getting richer by the day. My home value is rising at a rate of 1% per month according to the National Association of Realtors. At that rate, my house will be worth $1 million in less than 10 years. My underwater condo (figuratively – not literally) in Wildwood will resurface and make me rich beyond my wildest dreams.

http://www.theburningplatform.com/?tag=lawrence-yun
 
I stopped listening to the NAR economists because they're always optimistic always seeing a silver lining. When I state an increasing market, reviewer ask to increase all comps since I said increasing market. Am I a computer and just linearly increase everything? Some comps sold below and some sold over market. You can't just raise prices like an equation. Sorry just my pet peeve with some reviewers.
 
Obviously a reviewer will have the hindsight of what happened. However, they should put that aside and when doing a retro review, limit the expectation of analysis and data to what was available at the time.

Being neutral when doing a review is not easy, but once one sets certain paramaters , is not that hard either. What information was avail at the time, and if the market was changing, or in a grey area, what was the most relevant data to subject ?

If an OA marked market stable when the change hadn't hit yet as far as sales prices ( prices often lag behind ltrends), then what were the listings at the time? And what were the marketing times of solds and relevant listings?

It can be excused that an appraiser still marked stable when prices were not yet caught up with trends, but if the same appraiser marked 3-6 months marketing time, when it is plain to see that relevant listings had marketing times of 8 months and above and the solds were showing longer and longer marketing times, then the appraiser clearly marked a box contrary to the data available at the time.

Go step by step through a report, and a picture emerges of how often and in what instances an appraiser reported conditions or conclusions contrary to readily avail data (if that is what they did).
 
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