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Predictions for Housing Prices in 2025

Which group will have the most accurate forcast?

  • Apollo Global Management - 10%+

  • Wall Street - 5-10%

  • Big Banks - 3-5%

  • Trade Groups and Zillow - 0-3%

  • Moodys - Less than 0%

Results are only viewable after voting.
I don't see housing prices continuing to go up in 2025. In my opinion it's already over bloated. Sure, the excitement of trump coming into office might be a boost for the first quarter or half of the year.... but a sudden change in economic or world events (Trump’s, Musk’s, Vivek's policies?) could cause the housing market to change suddenly or unexpectedly.

That could be great for us as appraisers if DOGE doesn't wipe us out first....
 
We're appraisers. We don't predict the future. We're known to look at recent past data.
 
Fernando said:
We're appraisers. We don't predict the future. We're known to look at recent past data.
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That's not the topic of the thread Dude....

What do you think will happen to the housing Market in 2025 Fernando? Which group listed above will be right? If none in your opinion, state what you think will happen.
 
Surf Cat said:
That's not the topic of the thread Dude....

What do you think will happen to the housing Market in 2025 Fernando? Which group listed above will be right? If none in your opinion, state what you think will happen.
Click to expand...
None one knows. If they did, they make a fortune.
We don't know how Trump can help our economy or destroy our economy. At least the tax cut reform will occur for sure.
 
Fernando said:
None one knows. If they did, they make a fortune.
We don't know how Trump can help our economy or destroy our economy. At least the tax cut reform will occur for sure.
Click to expand...
The Grinch who stole the thread...
 
Biden deficit spent $2 trillion this last fiscal year and is still pumping it out. If shelter is currently 40% of the CPI and we are around a true 5% inflation rate in that index, why would anyone expect a flat year with respect to price appreciation?
 
Surf Cat said:
The Grinch who stole the thread...
Click to expand...
I'm a realist. Don't want to ramble like Economists. Few lucky ones will predict correctly and they get accolades.
 
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If we see home sales flat and we see inventory higher in 2025, then prices are going to be closer to flat. 10%+ is going to require a big increase in home sales driving the inventory down.
 
I think the most likely scenario is probably the same kind of market as 2024.
 
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