Who said you pick based on PRICE???
I have only heard you mention "30%" on this thread, but if you insist ...
Kenosha, City of - Q4 2010
Data from MLS (total)
- Average (Mean) Sale Price- $128k
- Median Sale Price - $112k
Data from MLS (flipping "toggles" under "Special Financing" to exclude REO Sales and Short Sales)
- Average (Mean) Sale Price - $152k
- Median Sale Price - $135k
You do the math,
but I think that is sufficient to indicate that REOs should NOT be used as comps in Kenosha without sufficient research into what adjustment would be appropriate in the subject NBHD and comment on why if used without adjustment (such as giving little to no weight to them, or using the comps in different NBHDs to support adjustments & opinion of value).
Above is what I was referring to, an appraiser doing a study, or relying on an MLS study such as above, and then excluding comps by price, aka, they are above or below a median price ( or some other study an appraiser is using). That is picking, or excluding comps by price.
I don't understand re the MLS data from Kenosha as it was applied in example:
- Average (Mean) Sale Price- $128k
- Median Sale Price - $112k
Data from MLS (flipping "toggles" under "Special Financing" to exclude REO Sales and Short Sales)
- Average (Mean) Sale Price - $152k
- Median Sale Price - $135k
The first search shows a lower median/avg price for all sales, and second search shows a higher price for sales excluding special financing, so from that you are concluding not to use REO's ( or use them with adjustment for financing) REO'S AND SHORT SALES DO NOT OFFER CREATIVE OR SPECIAL FINANCING.
If you don't believe me, call and speak to a number of agents in the area who handle REO and short sales ( If REO's and short sales DO offer special financing in Kinosha, then you are corrrect. However, I have in general not heard of them offering special or creative financing, and don't see why Kinosha is different?)
Re, look at how most REO and Short sales are purchased. Cash, or FHA, or conv financing. Where is the special financing? The lender is not offering special financing. Sometimes they will take a lower price for a cash offer, because it will close faster. But then often a private seller will take a lower offer for cash. If you feel cash offers are being sold lower, then an adjustment may be warranted, but a buyer closing with cash as opposed to obtaining a mortgage still is not considered special financing.
Re, when searching for median/avg price, appraisers use it to answer the question on front page, what is the average price of homes in the area? I have not seen it used as a basis for picking comps, re, to pick or not pick depending on how far from an average or median a comp is?
The above search reulsts aside, There are also limitations to the data MLS searches provide to an appraiser. Although the data may be useful, it is just one source of information, and may not be as reliable as one might assume.
First off, and I see this problem on the MC market addendum form, is that in order to get enough meaningful data, many times a search parameter has to be broadened. As it gets broader, re, increased geogpraphical area, back in time, bigger variances from living area, for example, the results of the search have less and less relevance to the subject and properties that would be the best competition to the subject. On the other hand, if an appraiser runs a more narrow search using features that closely resemble the subject, often not enough data is present. That is one problem.
The other problem, is that the data agents enter on MLS is often unreliable. Square footage, sometimes they include garages and we don't. What they call special or creative financing we might not consider as such ( plus some of them are so ignorant they mis understand the term and put it when it is not present and vice versa).
I have seen them leave the word REO sale out of a listing, and it turns out it is an REO bank owned house. And the list goes on of their errors that can make a search less than reliable .
Something appraisers need to keep in mind that we overlook since we are using MLS for our own purposes , is that agents describe properties on MLS for the benefit of other agents, aka, they want to get their listings shown. Thus, they may claim special financing when there is none ( or the "special " financing is the seller contributing $500 toward closing, not enough to affect value). They often do not reveal deficiencies, such as a house backs a turnpike and they don't mention it, they exagerate amenities, such as a condo has an ocean view, when it has no view from inside the rooms and only a small oblique view from the balcony. Agents, unfortuntely, are allowed to do this as "puffery", since their listings are written up for the use of other agents. I think that is wrong but that is what we have to deal with in relying on MLS data ( why in individual comps it is good to verify, but how is an appraiser running a data search with 100 comps coming back going to verifiy them? They can't, thus, the search, although it provides certain information, is not fully reliable)