From Stephen Moore's Newsletter (4/1/24)
" The Biden administration in recent weeks has announced new stringent requirements for virtually the entire American transportation system to run on electric power. The goal is to eliminate the use of all fossil fuels.
As we noted last week, the EPA is poised to approve new rules for trains to go electric via another California mandate, and there are also plans to require that the long-haul trucking industry convert to electric battery operation.
"Biden’s 2021 infrastructure plan, passed at the behest of unions and special interest businesses. The bill provided
$7.5 billion to build 500,000 public chargers for electric vehicles by 2030. So far, they have
built a grand total of seven chargers. In other words, the Biden team has delivered on less than half a percent of the promised infrastructure."
The looney idea of battery-powered trucks is both a near-technological impossibility and a cost-burden nightmare for our trucking industry. A 10-ton, long-haul rig is going to carry cargo across the country powered by an enormous electric battery. Good luck with that.
All of this will add enormous new demands on the already-overburdened electric grid system. The mandates come at a time when, as the Wall Street Journal reports, electric power demand is expected to double over the next decade and production in the U.S. is already stretched to the limits. AI technologies will use four times more power than the Internet."
WSJ:
"About a third of the world’s 8,000 data centers are in the U.S., but the build-out is a worldwide phenomenon. Globally, the International Energy Agency estimates that electricity consumption from data centers, AI and cryptocurrency could double by 2026.
The Biden administration in recent weeks has announced new stringent requirements for virtually the entire American transportation system to run on electric power. The goal is to eliminate the use of all fossil fuels.
As we noted last week, the EPA is poised to approve new rules for trains to go electric via another California mandate, and there are also plans to require that the long-haul trucking industry convert to electric battery operation. "
UniversityofWashington: (Power and New Data Centers)
"Also, as models become more sophisticated, they get larger and larger, which means the data center energy for training and using these models can become unsustainable. Each big technology company is now trying to develop their own model, and this can lead to a huge training load on data centers.
Overall, this can lead to up to 10 gigawatt-hour (GWh) power consumption to train a single large language model like ChatGPT-3. This is on average roughly equivalent to the yearly electricity consumption of over 1,000 U.S. households.
Today there are hundreds of millions of daily queries on ChatGPT, though that number may be declining. This many queries can cost around 1 GWh each day, which is the equivalent of the daily energy consumption for about 33,000 U.S. households.
Also, as models become more sophisticated, they get larger and larger, which means the data center energy for training and using these models can become unsustainable. Each big technology company is now trying to develop their own model, and this can lead to a huge training load on data centers.
Training a large language model, such as ChatGPT, uses on average roughly equivalent to the yearly electricity consumption of over 1,000 U.S. households, according to Sajjad Moazeni, UW assistant...
www.washington.edu
.......................
So what are we going to do? The billionaire boys want bigger, faster AI, Government wants EVs, and it takes power, and power produces pollution. It would seem AI should be able to figure out the problem.
I asked Gemini a series of questions about the failed Biomass to Jet Fuel plant in Lakeview, OR, and we ended the conversation with:
- "Think creatively: AI is good at following established rules and procedures, but it's not great at coming up with entirely new ideas."