What will 2025 bring to the stock market?

[Fernando]

Genius as always

With Trump it's 50% lies, 20% hard work, and 30% luck in getting elected.

 

[Fernando]

Market is happy with China's tariffs on US products and Trump realized his tariffs not working on China.
What did Trump do?
Higher interest rates and weaker dollar. Before, 92 Euros to a Dollar. Now 88 Euros. Gonna cost me more in my European vacation. Thanks Trump.

 

[Fernando]

https://finance.yahoo.com/news/may-weeks-learn-politicians-cashed-182958556.html?fr=sycsrp_catchall

It may be weeks before we learn which politicians cashed in on Trump's tariff-driven stock market dip

 

[alebrewer]

And you need to have a longer perspective. Since 1929, corrections on average resulted in an average peak to trough decline of 13.8%, as opposed to an average decline of 35.6% during bear markets, the data showed. Still, investors can take their time piling back into stocks. The average correction lasts 115 days, Yardeni Research showed. So I don’t give a rats behind about a one month decline. The markets were over valued. And just as in other corrections they will come back. Instead of looking at the one month, why don’t you look at the 5 year trend? Maybe you have better hashish.

My apologies for the delayed response. Just saw this. Your post said this: "Yes, and it has essentially recovered 1,000 points in the last few days." and I was pointing out data that suggested otherwise. I made no comment about events since 1929, as your post specifically referred to the 'last few days' - which is normally interpreted as less than a month, not 94 years.

That said, the advice to lay off the hashish was meant figuratively. IRL, I'd never advise anyone to lay off the stuff.

 

[Fernando]

In spur of moment last night, my wife and I went to our favorite restaurant. Usually even on weeknights, people eat there.
Last night, not many people. The owner said it was odd. On previous night, many were in her restaurant.
Hmmm, Wednesday had stock market gone up a lot.

 

[Joe Flacco]

Very similar price action with 2015-2016 so far.

 

[Fernando]

View attachment 98993

Very similar price action with 2015-2016 so far.

What are you talking about? Doesn't look similar.
Market was doing well under Biden.
Since Trump taken office, market has gone down, way down.

 

[Charles West]

Settling the market's volatility will take about 90 days of tariff/trade/negotiations. If I am right, July or thereabouts may be an ideal entry point.

 

[Fernando]

View attachment 98993

Very similar price action with 2015-2016 so far.

If Biden was still President, the ETF would be around $620 instead of $480 now.
Don't we miss Biden y'all?

 

[Joe Flacco]

Eh. Very normal stock market price action.