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What will 2025 bring to the stock market?

The long bond probably isn't going to move much given the private sector's demand for capital and the level of refinancing required for government debt. If we were headed for a recession, they would come down, but that isn't happening until Jerome gets a clue.
 
More delusion, it hasn't changed since before Trump took office
But Moody rating has, downgrade under Trump. Just like I frowned upon and don't like potential tenants having low FICO score.
 

Moody’s downgrade of U.S. debt sets stage for Monday unease​


Investors are bracing for a turbulent start to the week as markets reopen following Moody’s Ratings decision to strip the U.S. of its last remaining top-tier credit score, Bloomberg News reported Sunday. The move, announced late Friday, has reignited concerns over America’s rising debt burden and fiscal trajectory.

Yields on 10-year Treasuries rose to 4.49% in after-hours trading on Friday, and futures tracking the Standard & Poor’s 500 stock index (SP500) dipped 0.6%, hinting at nervous market sentiment heading into the week. Analysts expect long-term Treasury yields could rise further, potentially pushing the 30-year yield above 5%, levels not seen since late 2023.

EXPECT MORTGAGE RATES TO RISE. ANOTHER BAD YEAR FOR APPRAISERS.
 
EXPECT MORTGAGE RATES TO RISE. ANOTHER BAD YEAR FOR APAPPRAISERS.
I saw yesterday that they are currently near 20 year highs. Had a big surge in orders about a month ago but little since, so the high rates already seem to be working through.

Interested to see how much of a pullback the market gives for the debt downgrade. Seems to be something that should have been priced in already, but quite a few stocks are overvalued already. The health care and pharmaceutical stocks might be an exception, but I didnt have the stomach to take the plunge on UNH.
 
I saw yesterday that they are currently near 20 year highs. Had a big surge in orders about a month ago but little since, so the high rates already seem to be working through.

Interested to see how much of a pullback the market gives for the debt downgrade. Seems to be something that should have been priced in already, but quite a few stocks are overvalued already. The health care and pharmaceutical stocks might be an exception, but I didnt have the stomach to take the plunge on UNH.
I can't believe UNH keeps plunging. How low can it go?
 
Nobody has believed the Moody and Fitch Bond rating services in my 40 years of trading. The U.S. only had a AAA and not rated junk because we can print money and we have a large military.
 
Moody was last to downgrade US.
Those rating services have been too slow in downgrades. Market kind of knew.
Must be bad and unavoidable and now official.
 
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