I'm hesitant to use the word 'shortage' as well, although I think you'd agree that, over the past 3-4 years, demand has most definitely exceeded supply. Had it not been for the 50-60% appraisal waivers from the GSE's, there's absolutely no way the current population of appraisers could have kept up. In addition, some have estimated that over 50% of the appraiser population is within 10 years of 'traditional' retirement. So, whether there is a shortage now or not (debatable), unless there is a large influx of appraisers, or demand for appraisal services diminishes for some reason, there soon will be.