Economic Impact Of Hurricanes

[Randolph Kinney]

The whole problem with the global warming issue is that the science (by many on both sides of the issue) has been completely corrupted by politics and belief (or non-belief) in man-made caused global warming has often become a matter of almost religious like faith rather than a scientific inquiry.

Strange, science does not predict in advance, only in hindsight.

 

[Bobby Bucks]

Hurricane expert Klotzbach: Irma at landfall comes in 7th behind 1935 Labor Day storm.

https://wattsupwiththat.com/2017/09...all-comes-in-7th-behind-1935-labor-day-storm/

 

[Randolph Kinney]

Forecasters predict a 70 percent likelihood of 11 to 17 named storms (winds of 39 mph or higher), of which 5 to 9 could become hurricanes (winds of 74 mph or higher), including 2 to 4 major hurricanes (Category 3, 4 or 5; winds of 111 mph or higher). An average season produces 12 named storms of which six become hurricanes, including three major hurricanes.

http://www.noaa.gov/media-release/above-normal-atlantic-hurricane-season-is-most-likely-year

Nothing about severity, only the number of hurricanes "above normal."

 

[Meandering]

How many named storms have we had so far this year then?

4, 10?

 

[Randolph Kinney]

How many named storms have we had so far this year then?

4, 10?

They are up to K. That is 11 named storms with October and November to go.

Atlantic hurricane season runs from June 1 through November 30.

 

[Randolph Kinney]

On Aug. 9, the likelihood of an above-normal season was increased to 60 percent, the NOAA said. The Aug. 9 update predicted that the season could see between 14 to 19 named storms, five to nine hurricanes and two to five major hurricanes.

So far, the 2017 hurricane season has seen 11 named storms, six hurricanes and three major hurricanes -- including Harvey, Irma and Jose, Bell said.

http://abcnews.go.com/US/rest-2017-...e-storms-noaa-meteorologist/story?id=49701483

So much for predicting with accuracy. The numbers changed after looking into the rear view mirror.

 

[Mr Rex]

I wonder if Irma might kick start Al Gore's latest book sales? Over 20k books selling ahead of it on Amazon right now. Maybe his prediction of the world ending a few years back has hurt his credibility...

 

[Randolph Kinney]

000
ABNT30 KNHC 011200
TWSAT

Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Fri Sep 01 2017

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Four named storms and four hurricanes, two of which became major
hurricanes, formed in the Atlantic basin in August. Based on a
30-year climatology (1981-2010), these numbers are above the
long-term averages of three named storms and two hurricanes.

In terms of the Accumulated Cyclone Energy (ACE), which measures the
combined strength and duration of tropical storms and hurricanes,
activity in the Atlantic basin so far in 2017 has been near average.

Reports on individual cyclones, when completed, are available at
the National Hurricane Center website at
www.hurricanes.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2017&basin=atl .

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIATWSAT.shtml

Hmmm ... the idea that storm intensity or strength is more because of global warming is not supported.

 

[Meandering]

In terms of the Accumulated Cyclone Energy (ACE), which measures the
combined strength and duration of tropical storms and hurricanes,
activity in the Atlantic basin so far in 2017 has been near average.
.

Oh no way.
Pete said:

Always have had them but their severity is increasing. Probably just a coincidence!

Increasing to average??????



Sounds like subprime appraiser math.

 

[Pittsburgh Pete]

Oh no way.
Pete said:


Increasing to average??????



Sounds like subprime appraiser math.

And you sound like denial--it's not just a river in Egypt!

Still hung up on your intellectual inferiority complex are you?