Economic Impact Of Hurricanes

[Randolph Kinney]

Floridians battered by Irma maintain climate change is no 'big deal'

The question now is whether local residents, Floridians and by extension America writ large will ponder the lessons of Irma, consider its portent of intensifying extreme weather in the wake of climate change, and decide to do something about it. The early message coming from Marcos Islanders on Monday was crystal clear.

No.

As for climate change? “I don’t think climate change is such a big deal.”

“I don’t think man is the tipping point. I think it’s more natural than that. We’re not experiencing historically close [to] high temperatures, not even close to it.”

https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2017/sep/11/hurricane-irma-florida-climate-change

Wonder why people don't believe the climate change alarmism and hype? They read it, hear it 24/7. When normal weather becomes extreme weather and extreme weather becomes normal weather ...

 

[Terrel L. Shields]

Don't ya know that every disaster these days is going to be the greatest natural disaster in U.S. History?

Spot on...sadly.

 

[Riick]

Strange, science does not predict in advance, only in hindsight.

Errrr... Ummmm.....
Please, don't tell that to Al Einstein, Neils Bohr, or that fellow who developed the Periodic Table Dmitri Mendeleev . Science both predicts and (then) tests the predictions.
What else are hypotheses ?

 

[Terrel L. Shields]

https://www.gfdl.noaa.gov/global-warming-and-hurricanes/

 

[Randolph Kinney]

https://www.gfdl.noaa.gov/global-warming-and-hurricanes/

An Overview of Current Research Results
Last Revised: Aug. 30, 2017

Contents

1. Summary Statement
2. Global Warming and Atlantic Hurricanes
3. Global Tropical Cyclone Activity and Climate Warming
4. Recent Relevant GFDL Papers and Animations
5. WMO Expert Team 2010 Assessment of Tropical Cyclones and Climate Change
6. Early GFDL Research on Global Warming and Hurricanes
7. Related links

1. Summary Statement
Two frequently asked questions on global warming and hurricanes are the following:

• Have humans already caused a detectable increase in Atlantic hurricane activity or global tropical cyclone activity?
• What changes in hurricane activity are expected for the late 21st century, given the pronounced global warming scenarios from current IPCC models?

In this review, we address these questions in the context of published research findings. We will first present the main conclusions and then follow with some background discussion of the research that leads to these conclusions. The main conclusions are:

• It is premature to conclude that human activities–and particularly greenhouse gas emissions that cause global warming–have already had a detectable impact on Atlantic hurricane or global tropical cyclone activity. That said, human activities may have already caused changes that are not yet detectable due to the small magnitude of the changes or observational limitations, or are not yet confidently modeled (e.g., aerosol effects on regional climate).
• Anthropogenic warming by the end of the 21st century will likely cause tropical cyclones globally to be more intense on average (by 2 to 11% according to model projections for an IPCC A1B scenario). This change would imply an even larger percentage increase in the destructive potential per storm, assuming no reduction in storm size.

Tough luck, hey Pete? You will have to wait until 2100 to know how much human emissions changed the climate because any change today is too small to measure (observational limitations).

 

[Pittsburgh Pete]

Randy and the gang of deniers provide great comic relief--keep it up. Always need a few contrarians with their heads in the sand, cherrypicking data, and standing firm on shaky ground! Keep the laughs coming.

 

[Terrel L. Shields]

In this review,

Note the very name of the IPCC ASSUMES global climate change.
Summary by IPCC. "We haven't found a connection because the climate hasn't really changed but we think 80 years from now it will change...no evidence or proof it will just our speculative hope and "scenario" but we're going to really look dumb if global warming doesn't show up by then...."

 

[Pittsburgh Pete]

Some contrarians are looking fairly stupid right now. Attempts to try to prove they're the smartest folks in the room cause them to miss what is right in front of them.

 

[Terrel L. Shields]

Some contrarians are looking fairly stupid right now. Attempts to try to prove they're the smartest folks in the room cause them to miss what is right in front of them.

Ah, another sad case of cognitive dissonance where Blind Petey cannot see beyond his Pinocchio nose...

 

[Pittsburgh Pete]

And another example of Terrell ignoring reality--early onset.........!?